Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ



Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.33 Chicago Machine 100.00%,   GOAT 99.50%,   Haymaker 33.20%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.00 Truck Stop 100.00%,   Philadelphia Pacmen 99.90%,  
1 North Central 1.04 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 3.60%,  
3 Northeast 2.95 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Red Tide 48.40%,   Mephisto 32.30%,   Magnitude 14.50%,   Blueprint 0.20%,  
3 Northwest 2.89 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 99.60%,   Furious George 87.90%,   Dark Star 1.10%,  
2 South Central 1.51 Johnny Bravo 99.90%,   Doublewide 50.90%,  
2 Southeast 2.27 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 25.90%,   Florida Untied 1.30%,  
1 Southwest 1.02 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 1.80%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.327 1.999 1.036 2.954 2.886 1.508 2.272 1.018
Autos (all @ 1) 1.327 0.999 0.036 1.954 1.886 0.508 1.272 0.018
Northeast (@ 2) 1.327 0.999 0.036 0.954 1.886 0.508 1.272 0.018
Northwest (@ 2) 1.327 0.999 0.036 0.954 0.886 0.508 1.272 0.018
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.327 0.999 0.036 0.954 0.886 0.508 1.272 0.018
Southeast (@ 2) 0.327 0.999 0.036 0.954 0.886 0.508 0.272 0.018
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.327 -0.001 0.036 0.954 0.886 0.508 0.272 0.018
Northeast (@ 3) 0.327 -0.001 0.036 -0.046 0.886 0.508 0.272 0.018
Northwest (@ 3) 0.327 -0.001 0.036 -0.046 -0.114 0.508 0.272 0.018
South Central (@ 2) 0.327 -0.001 0.036 -0.046 -0.114 -0.492 0.272 0.018
Total 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2427.24 63.71 1 10 10-2
2 Chicago Machine 1 2393.38 90.18 1 13 8-4
3 DiG 1 2371.28 101.91 1 14 8-4
4 Rhino Slam! 1 2356.85 77.48 1 12 9-3
5 PoNY 1 2356.08 70.82 1 12 9-3
6 Sub Zero 1 2271.00 51.75 2 13 13-5
7 Ring of Fire 1 2256.50 61.89 1 13 13-5
8 Truck Stop 1 2224.12 66.30 1 14 11-7
9 Chain Lightning 1 2180.03 48.75 4 14 12-6
10 Philadelphia Pacmen 0.999 2201.91 49.27 3 17 12-6
11 Johnny Bravo 0.999 2074.05 42.02 9 17 10-8
12 Sockeye 0.996 2155.58 74.34 3 20 8-4
13 GOAT 0.995 2173.20 94.22 1 22 9-3
14 Furious George 0.879 2032.81 84.32 5 24 10-6
15 Doublewide 0.509 1938.77 86.28 8 27 14-9
16 Red Tide 0.484 1935.00 31.29 13 22 16-9
17 Haymaker 0.332 1906.23 74.40 10 29 18-4
18 Mephisto 0.323 1908.09 63.04 12 26 9-8
19 Raleigh-Durham United 0.259 1909.41 45.83 12 23 7-5
20 Magnitude 0.145 1866.98 65.02 13 27 10-3
21 Mad Men 0.036 1828.27 63.98 15 29 16-5
22 SoCal Condors 0.018 1794.04 68.86 15 35 8-4
23 Florida Untied 0.013 1740.60 84.57 14 49 13-10
24 Dark Star 0.011 1783.26 69.34 14 33 17-3
25 Blueprint 0.002 1772.59 55.69 16 32 21-3
26 Sprout 0 1713.47 58.92 17 39 18-5
27 Vault 0 1701.59 54.65 20 36 11-13
28 Oak Grove Boys 0 1675.46 64.85 18 44 21-8
29 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1625.40 51.13 23 43 14-8
30 Phoenix 0 1592.42 71.84 22 49 13-10
31 baNC 0 1561.60 55.79 25 48 12-11
32 SOUF 0 1557.23 54.08 24 47 19-5
33 Red Circus 0 1550.99 53.72 25 49 12-7
34 Nighthawk 0 1544.90 65.35 24 52 10-8
35 Lounar 0 1532.90 58.74 26 56 14-10
36 Colt 0 1524.49 68.00 25 57 21-11
37 Big Wrench 0 1509.73 67.21 24 63 10-7
38 Wavestorms 0 1485.24 64.39 27 63 13-2
39 Flying Dutchmen 0 1477.01 61.53 27 58 13-5
40 I-69 0 1467.77 66.82 28 59 13-11
41 Fungi 0 1453.89 72.84 27 67 12-6
42 Tanasi 0 1447.12 66.45 26 67 18-3
43 Lantern 0 1444.75 72.14 28 69 14-10
44 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1438.34 70.36 29 69 20-5
45 Mallard 0 1437.14 86.22 25 83 9-8
46 Trident 0 1408.10 59.48 29 63 17-7
47 BUDA U20B 0 1390.98 73.83 29 73 3-4
48 General Strike 0 1389.21 86.90 28 76 7-3
49 Switchback 0 1387.85 57.94 32 67 12-10
50 ELDL 0 1370.29 56.12 34 67 14-9
51 Garden State Ultimate 0 1365.58 59.11 32 75 13-10
52 Zodiac 0 1356.96 73.08 29 77 12-7
53 Iditarod 0 1353.93 46.39 35 71 11-7
54 AVE 0 1353.70 84.56 30 85 7-4
55 Skipjack 0 1322.17 97.43 28 92 10-5
56 Club M - Manic 0 1308.32 66.99 32 88 6-7
57 CITYWIDE Special 0 1296.25 51.16 41 86 14-11
58 Knights of Ni 0 1288.03 85.79 34 99 11-6
59 UPDOG 0 1284.60 90.84 34 104 11-6
60 WOMP 0 1282.20 82.86 34 111 20-4
61 Shade 0 1266.14 50.34 44 81 15-11
62 BAG 0 1262.02 45.62 44 83 11-14
63 Portland TremOR 0 1232.98 50.77 47 92 8-6
64 Fuse 0 1225.30 52.24 49 92 16-6
65 MOB Ultimate 0 1204.44 61.82 45 101 14-7
66 EtobiCoke 0 1201.68 71.82 38 103 11-9
67 Hazard 0 1201.39 73.55 44 108 10-9
68 Ascension 0 1200.80 62.98 48 106 6-7
69 Alamode 0 1186.34 57.29 49 101 18-5
70 Zoboomafoo 0 1185.39 59.85 51 103 13-8
71 Apollo 0 1179.65 57.53 47 97 17-4
72 Mint 0 1170.27 56.24 53 100 15-7
73 Odyssey 0 1163.89 65.58 53 104 15-10
74 Wretched Refuse 0 1163.00 97.63 37 121 7-4
75 Cash Crop 2 0 1161.88 45.98 55 102 12-4
76 Grudge 0 1160.53 65.28 51 105 10-7
77 DAPPER 0 1155.94 41.97 56 98 17-15
78 Black Lung 0 1151.78 87.42 43 118 18-5
79 Blackfish 0 1149.33 59.62 51 107 9-9
80 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1142.75 68.75 51 114 7-11
81 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1136.25 75.82 49 111 13-8
82 OAT 0 1122.21 57.17 58 108 12-6
83 ISO Atmo 0 1110.99 67.88 53 113 16-8
84 Triumph 0 1100.70 54.93 58 109 15-9
85 Sebastopol Orchard 0 1093.26 57.66 58 115 7-4
86 PowderHogs 0 1091.31 63.98 58 112 13-10
87 Endgame 0 1091.17 73.47 55 125 16-10
88 Skeleton Squad 0 1090.53 51.87 59 112 17-14
89 Lil’ Huckers 0 1082.50 48.28 64 112 15-11
90 Dynasty 0 1079.98 59.00 59 114 15-10
91 Rumspringa 0 1070.54 73.93 53 120 11-3
92 Swordfish 0 1051.09 64.18 59 120 13-10
93 John Doe 0 1050.34 70.45 60 124 19-8
94 DeMo 0 1049.40 53.15 54 116 17-9
95 Crypt 0 1044.21 50.85 68 118 15-9
96 Atlanta Arson 0 1035.62 80.79 61 137 14-7
97 Rebels 0 1033.05 49.19 71 117 16-14
98 Sawtooth 0 1023.58 57.10 68 118 14-8
99 Forest City 0 1022.92 61.47 71 120 13-12
100 X Wives 0 1008.93 78.41 56 130 6-6
101 DINGWOP 0 996.80 54.80 70 122 7-5
102 Colonels 0 995.93 57.76 67 121 14-12
103 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 991.57 143.53 41 176 1-2
104 El Niño 0 983.56 56.86 76 121 12-7
105 ZOO 0 977.02 73.56 65 132 20-4
106 Riverside 0 956.32 48.20 83 127 16-9
107 Magma Bears 0 951.52 45.76 85 124 13-14
108 OPE 0 944.92 56.85 82 131 8-8
109 Texas Tea 0 918.11 58.49 83 133 14-9
110 Roundhouse 0 911.02 50.04 79 133 9-9
111 Junco 0 900.67 64.60 84 138 6-14
112 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 898.77 85.20 72 153 10-7
113 Texas BBQ 0 883.83 58.76 87 143 15-7
114 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 868.58 61.18 93 144 10-8
115 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 863.85 114.51 72 172 4-2
116 Cookie Mon$terz 0 861.96 56.55 90 147 17-7
117 Queen City Kings 0 845.99 52.37 100 147 13-9
118 Battleship 0 842.09 50.23 98 144 12-5
119 ATLiens 0 832.44 127.74 60 173 3-2
120 BANG 0 819.25 83.52 95 162 4-6
121 NOx 0 814.56 59.73 93 155 14-11
122 H.I.P 0 806.54 141.16 63 186 8-3
123 Harvest Moon 0 798.70 78.38 83 164 11-8
124 UpRoar 0 790.01 71.53 92 167 10-8
125 Beef Depot 0 789.16 58.36 106 156 15-14
126 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 788.88 57.79 99 156 8-9
127 Dreadnought 0 785.71 50.79 108 151 11-13
128 Hazard 0 784.93 91.73 75 177 8-8
129 Heartbreak 0 776.42 65.47 104 164 6-12
130 Zodiac 0 775.94 61.87 107 165 10-9
131 Atlanta Outlaws 0 774.20 58.68 106 164 15-10
132 Cache Valley High Ground 0 767.52 79.87 99 170 1-9
133 Town Hall Stars 0 758.47 78.61 98 178 5-3
134 Alliance 0 753.48 70.60 101 167 12-12
135 Psychedelic 0 750.64 71.02 103 169 12-12
136 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 740.11 43.36 113 164 10-14
137 New Jersey Gemini 0 729.30 49.87 107 166 8-17
138 Romulus 0 719.55 71.89 106 178 7-11
139 Rubicon Rapids 0 710.61 71.84 112 180 8-9
140 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 688.52 65.12 111 174 6-11
141 Alibi 0 679.74 47.71 118 170 12-14
142 Make it Rain 0 670.73 65.73 114 175 4-14
143 EZ 0 668.09 56.79 119 175 7-17
144 Delirium 0 667.24 163.37 68 205 2-3
145 Touch of Grey 0 666.20 71.48 114 177 4-3
146 Tugboat 0 663.73 49.70 122 177 14-9
147 (washed) 0 644.35 76.99 109 188 9-6
148 OC Crows 0 643.22 82.66 109 183 6-9
149 Battery 0 641.11 40.90 130 173 9-9
150 MBTA 0 636.67 42.89 123 177 5-19
151 L.U.T $ack 0 633.06 66.73 121 186 9-10
152 STL Moonar 0 632.87 60.93 121 181 5-13
153 Winc City Fog 0 630.80 69.26 117 182 8-12
154 Gang Of Disc 0 629.78 71.45 118 185 12-6
155 Firefall 0 614.99 55.95 125 176 7-6
156 Mischief 0 607.96 57.27 127 181 8-22
157 ElecTriCity 0 605.22 49.38 128 179 7-10
158 Florida Flo 0 603.87 82.73 119 190 5-8
159 Nocturnal 0 599.99 42.75 131 181 14-12
160 Timber 0 586.70 61.76 122 188 9-8
161 Seven Gills 0 585.51 90.83 112 201 4-12
162 BUDA Regional Select 0 569.56 97.38 113 200 1-6
163 ODOT 0 566.29 162.80 85 220 2-4
164 NC Brickhouse 0 552.34 66.10 119 194 8-15
165 DAP LAB 0 548.92 77.38 123 193 9-3
166 Give Me Death 0 541.74 80.65 128 195 7-10
167 Enigma 0 537.81 71.80 133 197 7-12
168 Scythe 0 536.39 65.45 131 196 9-11
169 The Incline 0 535.33 61.38 134 189 16-15
170 Rice Box 0 534.68 48.30 143 192 13-12
171 Cozy Boys 0 517.96 57.87 137 193 6-6
172 Rawhide 0 495.07 53.21 146 192 8-10
173 Lil Heroes 0 487.54 51.72 147 194 3-3
174 Digit 0 477.93 80.46 130 200 5-8
175 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 475.69 133.45 105 215 2-4
176 Shift 0 458.18 54.93 151 198 6-12
177 Texas Duffy 0 454.97 69.72 144 199 9-15
178 On Ramp 0 444.62 38.96 160 194 9-15
179 Dub Club 0 442.87 46.93 153 202 8-11
180 Oregon Trainwreck 0 435.18 101.62 133 217 1-5
181 Journeymen 0 434.27 116.54 112 211 1-9
182 Wave 0 430.81 71.13 148 206 5-11
183 Barefoot 0 416.36 69.58 140 205 6-16
184 Space Cowboys 0 412.00 87.30 140 217 3-8
185 Friendly Fire 0 393.68 65.27 152 207 9-15
186 PARLAY 0 390.65 126.41 127 220 1-8
187 Green Mountain Boys 0 386.56 69.96 152 205 6-6
188 Tennessee Folklore 0 379.54 64.38 161 206 7-15
189 Gambit 0 377.21 57.09 157 205 7-15
190 Smogborn 0 352.26 91.18 146 213 2-13
191 Southern Hospitality 0 331.17 53.95 170 207 7-16
192 Whittz Boyz 0 329.54 98.60 141 219 2-11
193 Forge 0 311.24 64.12 171 210 7-16
194 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 299.20 74.14 161 212 5-15
195 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 289.64 90.71 157 218 2-3
196 Red Lotus 0 289.56 63.28 175 215 4-19
197 Conspiracy Theory 0 286.71 72.68 172 213 3-13
198 Savannah Wild 0 260.72 62.10 177 215 6-18
199 Hydra 0 251.40 71.42 173 218 4-14
200 Sky-90 0 242.80 102.54 169 224 1-9
201 Nomads 0 239.60 67.96 179 217 6-16
202 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 227.72 74.95 171 217 5-13
203 Buoyancy 0 227.72 117.41 163 225 2-9
204 Red Dawn 0 226.43 104.61 165 224 2-4
205 Buffalo Frostbite 0 217.06 57.12 181 216 10-15
206 Burning River 0 216.61 67.99 177 219 3-15
207 San Antonio Warhawks 0 204.34 44.69 191 215 9-15
208 Bodega Cats 0 158.70 78.32 186 223 4-15
209 Chemical X 0 129.14 70.42 186 224 5-15
210 Maumee Boys 0 127.04 72.88 189 225 6-18
211 Long Island Riff Raff 0 91.12 72.70 190 225 9-15
212 F-Words 0 78.30 113.32 160 228 1-4
213 Motive 0 67.24 55.76 197 224 8-20
214 Anchor 0 58.37 101.00 186 227 0-9
215 Afterburner 0 38.98 55.95 200 225 0-11
216 Virginia Vortex 0 35.59 151.25 172 230 1-3
217 Frostchomp 0 2.31 137.84 173 230 1-8
218 Spring Break '93 0 -8.95 100.75 191 229 4-14
219 Supercell 0 -18.57 61.25 207 227 3-19
220 Black Gold 0 -25.32 36.18 211 227 3-14
221 Players Into Serious Sports 0 -38.16 98.04 200 229 1-8
222 Original Recipe 0 -42.06 123.57 182 230 0-6
223 Apollo 0 -65.74 97.08 202 229 2-8
224 Milwaukee Breaker 0 -100.69 122.58 192 231 1-9
225 Tofu Junction 0 -119.93 82.72 207 229 3-12
226 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -193.38 124.63 203 231 0-8
227 Flux 0 -367.02 147.00 211 231 0-17
228 Inferno Ultimate 0 -374.21 77.68 223 231 0-4
229 Turn-a-Phase 0 -387.05 187.32 201 231 0-6
230 Mayhem 0 -472.96 199.05 211 231 0-11
231 Deaf Fruit 0 -625.32 218.26 213 231 0-6