Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ



Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 1.30 Hybrid 100.00%,   Union 29.80%,  
3 Mid-Atlantic 2.69 AMP 98.60%,   Rally 91.10%,   Pittsburgh Port Authority 79.30%,   Spice 0.10%,  
1 North Central 0.83 Drag'n Thrust 79.40%,   Good Company 3.90%,  
3 Northeast 3.17 Slow 100.00%,   XIST 100.00%,   Sprocket 92.70%,   Odyssée 23.80%,  
2 Northwest 1.59 BFG 89.40%,   Seattle Mixtape 35.10%,   Oregon Scorch 29.70%,   Royals 3.10%,   Sego 2.20%,  
2 South Central 1.99 Austin Disco Club 100.00%,   shame. 99.20%,  
1 Southeast 0.90 Toro 90.00%,   Roma Ultima 0.30%,   'Shine 0.10%,  
3 Southwest 3.52 Tower 99.90%,   Polar Bears 99.10%,   California Burrito 74.70%,   Lotus 54.70%,   Mischief 23.80%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.298 2.691 0.833 3.165 1.595 1.992 0.904 3.522
Autos (all @ 1) 0.298 1.691 -0.167 2.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 2.522
Southwest (@ 2) 0.298 1.691 -0.167 2.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 1.522
Northeast (@ 2) 0.298 1.691 -0.167 1.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 1.522
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.298 0.691 -0.167 1.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 1.522
Southwest (@ 3) 0.298 0.691 -0.167 1.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 0.522
Northeast (@ 3) 0.298 0.691 -0.167 0.165 0.595 0.992 -0.096 0.522
South Central (@ 2) 0.298 0.691 -0.167 0.165 0.595 -0.008 -0.096 0.522
Mid-Atlantic (@ 3) 0.298 -0.309 -0.167 0.165 0.595 -0.008 -0.096 0.522
Northwest (@ 2) 0.298 -0.309 -0.167 0.165 -0.405 -0.008 -0.096 0.522
Total 1 3 1 3 2 2 1 3

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 XIST 1 2164.60 70.34 1 5 14-2
2 Hybrid 1 2139.05 72.98 1 7 19-3
3 Slow 1 2035.14 45.81 1 9 16-7
4 Austin Disco Club 1 2014.07 59.92 1 13 18-6
5 Tower 0.999 2020.77 66.95 1 17 19-3
6 shame. 0.992 1895.55 59.46 2 24 14-9
7 Polar Bears 0.991 1878.22 44.15 3 17 23-6
8 AMP 0.986 1920.75 72.45 1 21 14-3
9 Sprocket 0.927 1836.93 49.02 4 22 15-9
10 Rally 0.911 1836.25 54.78 4 24 15-9
11 Toro 0.9 1838.58 55.72 4 27 13-11
12 BFG 0.894 1850.02 69.40 3 27 22-7
13 Drag'n Thrust 0.794 1811.80 63.67 5 27 14-9
14 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0.793 1821.44 67.45 3 26 20-6
15 California Burrito 0.747 1790.65 39.07 7 24 21-7
16 Lotus 0.547 1771.50 51.30 6 25 21-10
17 Seattle Mixtape 0.351 1743.81 57.23 7 31 13-10
18 Union 0.298 1734.08 62.00 5 32 19-3
19 Oregon Scorch 0.297 1738.51 52.18 7 29 21-7
20 Odyssée 0.238 1725.90 63.83 7 31 12-1
21 Mischief 0.238 1725.12 59.43 7 30 19-11
22 Good Company 0.039 1631.08 76.14 8 41 16-4
23 Royals 0.031 1650.54 63.86 10 40 6-0
24 Sego 0.022 1647.04 56.73 11 38 20-8
25 Roma Ultima 0.003 1615.51 50.35 13 38 27-5
26 Spice 0.001 1576.79 54.48 16 39 15-5
27 'Shine 0.001 1547.42 61.76 16 48 18-12
28 Mile High Trash 0 1590.57 46.27 18 39 12-13
29 Big Rig 0 1586.30 43.42 17 38 28-5
30 Space Force 0 1554.14 45.61 20 43 10-15
31 Spoke 0 1537.30 62.04 20 57 13-10
32 Grand Army 0 1513.25 60.00 20 52 19-11
33 Wild Card 0 1511.68 57.14 17 48 16-12
34 Asheville Parliament 0 1490.61 51.03 23 52 23-9
35 Darkwing 0 1489.77 44.31 24 49 24-13
36 Brunch Club 0 1487.63 54.38 20 53 20-5
37 Zero Strategy 0 1446.13 65.74 22 61 19-8
38 Lawless 0 1434.77 44.65 27 56 3-15
39 Murmur 0 1428.56 61.45 25 64 22-11
40 MOONDOG 0 1427.20 61.14 24 61 10-11
41 Revival 0 1396.28 45.22 31 61 23-7
42 FlyTrap 0 1394.83 48.66 30 62 19-13
43 Landsharks 0 1378.22 63.64 23 71 18-7
44 Bar None 0 1374.91 69.41 27 78 18-9
45 Spectre 0 1371.59 41.02 32 63 26-5
46 Vancouver Victors 0 1368.26 74.40 25 83 9-4
47 Anthem 0 1329.31 70.55 29 85 10-17
48 Lights Out 0 1327.90 50.83 35 76 18-12
49 Classy 0 1327.79 48.98 36 72 23-15
50 LIT Ultimate 0 1321.03 59.74 35 79 17-15
51 Fireball 0 1310.99 87.04 24 95 8-5
52 Donuts 0 1310.85 56.03 33 86 24-13
53 Townies 0 1304.77 56.06 35 85 21-8
54 Minnesota Star Power 0 1301.35 70.91 32 99 15-7
55 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 1280.19 58.44 34 89 12-8
56 Garbage Plates 0 1278.59 59.11 37 93 17-13
57 Porch Bears 0 1273.65 50.45 37 85 19-5
58 Moontower 0 1270.57 44.63 42 78 18-9
59 Jughandle 0 1263.40 57.76 38 94 20-7
60 Impact 0 1263.25 58.82 33 88 18-6
61 Bench 0 1260.94 55.20 39 91 22-7
62 Bird 0 1223.29 61.12 42 93 16-7
63 BW Ultimate 0 1219.04 59.35 39 101 16-14
64 BUMS 0 1209.44 47.60 47 93 26-9
65 Catalyst 0 1200.40 40.94 47 88 18-15
66 Flight Club 0 1194.96 45.45 43 102 12-18
67 Friends and Lovers 0 1192.72 98.57 31 116 5-1
68 RAMP 0 1190.46 48.81 45 96 19-11
69 Amber 0 1188.31 53.06 43 98 18-7
70 Space Ghosts 0 1182.68 60.60 45 104 14-16
71 Harfang ultimate 0 1180.79 136.35 29 176 3-3
72 Conspiracy 0 1172.92 49.92 50 98 10-22
73 The Buoy Association 0 1170.16 59.01 44 106 13-8
74 Funk 0 1169.46 44.35 46 98 20-11
75 Quahogs 0 1150.06 50.58 51 105 20-11
76 Steamboat 0 1143.84 44.77 53 107 12-12
77 Shipwreck 0 1139.40 55.50 54 106 20-11
78 Fatal Attraction 0 1138.70 62.09 46 111 14-17
79 Obscure 0 1130.68 68.41 50 117 7-7
80 Green Chiles 0 1119.36 50.64 58 107 13-11
81 American Barbecue 0 1116.03 42.42 59 104 18-19
82 Malice in Wonderland 0 1106.23 42.37 59 106 12-19
83 Delabear 0 1103.97 52.36 57 109 17-6
84 Northern Comfort 0 1093.43 61.78 50 126 16-7
85 Dispatch 0 1093.02 74.12 54 117 16-9
86 Pegasus 0 1092.07 58.92 55 123 15-15
87 CLX 0 1090.77 51.61 61 115 18-12
88 Octonauts 0 1085.89 49.05 61 125 15-8
89 Seattle Soft Serve 0 1082.79 64.11 54 120 8-10
90 HVAC 0 1082.52 46.32 66 118 18-14
91 Bullet Train 0 1077.15 59.26 52 117 13-11
92 Ant Madness 0 1071.80 46.53 64 112 20-15
93 Twist 0 1066.85 51.90 64 118 19-12
94 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1065.03 54.77 61 120 11-18
95 NOISE 0 1060.58 112.70 30 161 4-0
96 Robot 0 1055.64 68.49 56 131 11-8
97 No Touching! 0 1054.04 66.23 58 126 13-6
98 Cupcakes 0 1048.25 52.58 64 122 11-18
99 Chicago Parlay 0 1044.49 53.77 66 122 13-19
100 Viking Blood 0 1033.85 65.68 58 130 11-7
101 Party Wave 0 1027.36 88.32 54 138 8-5
102 Sin Nombre 0 1003.72 63.01 69 149 14-11
103 Prion 0 985.39 37.75 86 130 20-11
104 Akron Nimb 0 979.45 50.22 78 134 15-9
105 League of Shadows 0 973.32 54.38 77 137 16-15
106 Armory 0 961.72 46.12 79 135 15-15
107 Hive 0 957.06 54.55 80 139 15-14
108 Family Style 0 933.95 62.03 79 152 11-14
109 Who, ME 0 933.03 90.64 60 172 2-3
110 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 929.47 46.81 89 149 17-7
111 Heat Wave 0 927.98 62.59 80 162 9-11
112 Lampshade 0 900.89 51.31 95 151 10-20
113 PS 0 900.00 44.17 88 147 17-13
114 Mochi 0 897.64 126.63 60 214 1-5
115 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 896.94 46.41 96 154 12-20
116 MN Superior 0 891.62 60.90 81 165 6-0
117 Karma 0 889.31 66.35 83 164 9-8
118 Mango 0 888.61 67.35 87 170 14-16
119 ConSTLation 0 880.95 67.18 90 162 11-7
120 MCO 0 877.25 69.80 91 184 10-9
121 Sailboat 0 874.04 140.12 47 230 4-2
122 Pushovers 0 865.84 45.93 99 162 16-11
123 Farm Show 0 862.30 69.50 83 182 8-11
124 TT 0 860.77 66.29 87 167 2-4
125 Legion 0 854.07 61.09 98 171 11-12
126 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 853.84 53.81 89 169 17-11
127 Obelisk 0 852.30 61.53 100 167 13-15
128 Toast! 0 848.52 49.69 103 162 15-14
129 Stackcats 0 844.11 49.79 101 160 21-16
130 NY Swipes 0 839.35 61.99 97 179 11-9
131 MoonPi 0 836.97 49.75 96 168 8-18
132 Spoiler Alert 0 829.16 74.90 89 177 10-14
133 Utah Sundrift 0 826.96 36.35 113 161 9-8
134 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 816.94 70.46 90 181 8-15
135 B-Unit 0 812.10 78.64 94 187 9-4
136 Space Invaders 0 809.11 89.66 91 186 3-4
137 T Party 0 806.28 48.88 109 169 9-16
138 solAR 0 805.64 49.59 105 178 16-14
139 Boomtown Pandas 0 800.62 55.39 106 175 12-12
140 Tempo 0 787.05 59.87 101 184 11-12
141 Heavy Flow 0 786.68 58.87 102 179 11-14
142 Choco Ghost House 0 785.33 51.01 110 173 9-10
143 Axolotls 0 784.88 70.88 99 193 11-12
144 Cowpoke 0 779.81 72.65 103 189 4-7
145 Nova 0 775.19 99.53 85 199 6-5
146 Grit City 0 775.14 61.83 102 189 14-15
147 Queen City Gambit 0 769.78 50.01 112 182 12-19
148 FLI 0 768.38 48.14 112 180 14-10
149 Sugar High 0 767.20 77.47 101 197 8-11
150 Ghostbusters 0 763.79 87.05 98 206 4-3
151 Risky Business 0 754.21 63.82 107 201 10-15
152 QCO 0 746.92 63.66 107 190 12-12
153 Swing Vote 0 746.26 165.68 63 240 2-2
154 Igneous Ultimate 0 745.78 57.80 111 194 7-14
155 Temu Fitness Number One 0 734.85 102.08 100 220 5-0
156 Taproot 0 732.92 58.30 109 198 11-9
157 Drip 0 723.27 71.80 113 213 8-10
158 Duck Parade 0 718.87 54.29 124 197 12-13
159 Southern Gothic 0 712.62 73.07 107 200 4-8
160 KOI 0 694.62 149.38 67 239 3-1
161 Pier Pressure 0 688.01 55.62 123 204 5-14
162 Rampage 0 684.59 67.74 122 207 4-15
163 Mousetrap 0 676.83 44.96 142 193 9-14
164 Bozos 0 676.36 96.27 104 227 2-3
165 Virginia Vanguard 0 671.98 83.98 108 214 5-5
166 Erosion 0 666.71 66.23 122 215 3-14
167 Smack! 0 652.00 59.68 117 209 6-5
168 Garbage Pla(C)e 0 640.39 61.71 128 209 9-6
169 Heat Wave 0 637.70 67.85 130 217 5-12
170 Jumbo Slice 0 634.41 58.72 138 209 8-12
171 Magnanimouse 0 630.32 63.63 129 217 6-19
172 Philadelphia Forge 0 627.16 85.89 120 222 2-4
173 BOP 0 625.84 84.81 115 227 8-9
174 Mad Udderburn 0 625.46 50.96 139 207 7-15
175 Champignons 0 624.28 47.15 147 210 2-4
176 The Strangers 0 622.52 55.41 137 221 5-13
177 Pandamonium 0 621.63 85.23 113 224 6-9
178 Skyhawks 0 614.46 48.86 145 207 16-21
179 Jabba 0 611.59 56.35 142 216 12-18
180 All Jeeps, All Night. 0 609.87 51.11 146 208 3-13
181 Nothing's Great Again 0 605.20 97.98 111 235 2-4
182 Aged Cheddar 0 603.11 82.47 130 224 5-5
183 Limbo 0 591.36 58.62 147 219 9-10
184 Sultana 0 590.75 90.07 119 233 2-4
185 Melonheads 0 587.30 127.92 102 239 3-4
186 Boxcar 0 575.42 80.65 127 224 3-7
187 BADIES 0 575.11 80.91 113 229 3-3
188 Goose Chase 0 560.18 63.95 150 220 5-16
189 Young and the Restless 0 557.36 44.58 159 215 7-10
190 S.O.S 0 549.17 96.06 128 237 3-8
191 Y'all 0 547.06 79.59 136 230 3-10
192 Birds of Paradise 0 545.76 69.70 151 225 8-16
193 ELevate 0 543.96 57.32 159 222 8-22
194 Goose Run 0 534.73 81.48 138 231 5-13
195 Equinox 0 529.93 156.53 95 249 3-3
196 Columbus Chaos 0 523.61 72.93 147 229 7-15
197 Squid Inc. 0 519.38 72.79 153 229 6-11
198 Cutthroat 0 510.75 76.26 142 234 5-12
199 Frostbite 0 504.92 65.14 159 228 6-11
200 WORM 0 500.56 45.21 174 229 3-4
201 SOUPA 0 499.76 169.23 101 252 2-4
202 Mola Mola 0 496.79 109.91 134 248 1-4
203 Scarecrow 0 493.72 57.49 162 233 5-19
204 Lightning 0 490.42 71.07 157 232 7-14
205 Mashed 0 490.01 61.97 167 234 7-16
206 The Force 0 488.86 47.17 177 226 13-10
207 Philly Twist 0 488.15 57.30 164 225 10-19
208 Crucible 0 480.87 62.78 162 230 10-15
209 Dreamcatcher 0 474.44 40.74 180 226 1-3
210 VU 0 470.22 58.91 164 233 5-18
211 Kappa 0 457.89 116.05 141 248 3-3
212 Rainbow 0 451.79 59.96 166 237 13-13
213 Brooklyn Hive 0 447.48 45.35 178 230 11-16
214 District Cocktails 0 445.17 50.92 183 234 3-19
215 Life Alert 0 440.15 84.37 155 244 1-5
216 Yesterday's Jam 0 435.08 113.98 138 250 1-5
217 Fault Line 0 430.25 74.39 166 240 2-14
218 Verdant 0 408.38 76.19 168 241 2-22
219 Lemonade Ultimate 0 396.84 65.55 183 243 7-11
220 Columbia HS Mixed 0 391.98 112.37 161 253 2-4
221 Melt 0 382.87 63.41 181 242 9-13
222 Bald Eagles 0 382.51 77.92 178 244 1-12
223 STL CELESTIAL 0 373.35 58.62 186 241 7-16
224 Discosauriscus 0 337.62 80.34 184 244 1-3
225 New South Soul 0 329.56 55.06 203 244 2-20
226 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 322.19 60.53 196 246 7-15
227 UV Rays 0 321.54 49.11 208 242 5-10
228 Damfast and Friends 0 315.25 51.21 204 244 2-3
229 Skooks 0 309.24 91.36 188 251 2-8
230 UFO Ultimate 0 299.79 73.20 196 248 4-5
231 The Midwest Goodbye 0 283.73 66.49 205 249 6-10
232 Beached Whales 0 277.67 153.84 141 259 1-4
233 Moonlight Ultimate 0 261.83 56.33 211 247 2-15
234 Pixel 0 258.32 50.32 217 247 4-19
235 flATLine 0 250.56 68.55 201 249 0-6
236 Wellman & the Terribles 0 233.38 98.52 183 257 2-3
237 Mastodon 0 229.89 70.92 199 253 6-11
238 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon 0 211.41 94.37 203 256 5-8
239 Spirit Howl 0 200.85 112.65 200 258 1-4
240 Dixon Melons 0 178.00 167.18 157 262 0-4
241 JAWN 0 167.94 82.34 215 254 2-6
242 SkyLab 0 167.93 54.84 226 254 0-18
243 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 166.60 74.74 222 254 4-14
244 Arms Race 0 131.12 62.02 223 254 4-14
245 PterodaCTyl 0 100.55 79.30 222 259 2-8
246 Lake Superior Disc 0 71.28 48.77 236 257 5-12
247 Dinosaur Fancy 0 59.14 77.79 231 259 2-8
248 Columbus Cohesion 0 58.11 74.74 232 259 2-16
249 Domino Effect 0 54.11 68.09 231 260 2-27
250 Pittsburgh Iron City Ultimate 0 48.91 183.44 166 263 1-3
251 NEW Groove 0 -7.65 71.27 237 260 2-7
252 Gallopin' Gerties 0 -8.01 258.29 123 263 0-5
253 Voltage 0 -21.17 87.38 230 262 1-11
254 DEVYL U-20 Mixed 0 -52.22 162.04 205 263 0-6
255 Hartford Current 0 -84.41 82.26 239 263 1-14
256 Sugar Shack 0 -109.25 135.30 232 263 1-8
257 Takeout 0 -115.93 161.23 216 263 0-11
258 Lobster Disque 0 -142.79 76.67 247 262 0-5
259 Geri-Mander 0 -153.63 78.08 246 263 0-6
260 Ultraviolet 0 -198.65 91.88 246 263 0-10
261 Compost Plates 0 -270.37 161.81 237 263 0-9
262 The New Deal Herd 0 -445.63 271.96 228 263 0-5
263 BLERF 0 -541.89 264.93 232 263 0-5