Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 1.97 Hybrid 99.90%,   Union 97.40%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.41 Rally 99.10%,   AMP 98.10%,   Pittsburgh Port Authority 35.20%,   Spice 8.60%,  
1 North Central 0.35 Drag'n Thrust 28.70%,   Good Company 6.80%,  
2 Northeast 2.80 Slow 100.00%,   XIST 100.00%,   Sprocket 50.90%,   Odyssée 29.00%,  
2 Northwest 1.84 BFG 99.00%,   Sego 45.30%,   Royals 28.20%,   Oregon Scorch 6.60%,   Seattle Mixtape 5.20%,  
2 South Central 1.98 Austin Disco Club 99.10%,   shame. 98.90%,  
1 Southeast 0.68 Toro 62.40%,   Roma Ultima 3.40%,   Bar None 1.70%,   Murmur 0.20%,  
4 Southwest 3.96 Tower 100.00%,   Polar Bears 99.10%,   California Burrito 89.60%,   Lotus 63.20%,   Mischief 44.40%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.973 2.410 0.355 2.799 1.843 1.980 0.677 3.963
Autos (all @ 1) 0.973 1.410 -0.645 1.799 0.843 0.980 -0.323 2.963
Southwest (@ 2) 0.973 1.410 -0.645 1.799 0.843 0.980 -0.323 1.963
Southwest (@ 3) 0.973 1.410 -0.645 1.799 0.843 0.980 -0.323 0.963
Northeast (@ 2) 0.973 1.410 -0.645 0.799 0.843 0.980 -0.323 0.963
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.973 0.410 -0.645 0.799 0.843 0.980 -0.323 0.963
South Central (@ 2) 0.973 0.410 -0.645 0.799 0.843 -0.020 -0.323 0.963
Great Lakes (@ 2) -0.027 0.410 -0.645 0.799 0.843 -0.020 -0.323 0.963
Southwest (@ 4) -0.027 0.410 -0.645 0.799 0.843 -0.020 -0.323 -0.037
Northwest (@ 2) -0.027 0.410 -0.645 0.799 -0.157 -0.020 -0.323 -0.037
Total 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 4

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 XIST 1 2172.64 77.03 1 9 10-2
2 Slow 1 2090.89 63.89 1 9 9-3
3 Tower 1 2037.14 66.31 1 14 15-3
4 Hybrid 0.999 2128.31 83.95 1 20 10-2
5 Austin Disco Club 0.991 2000.48 91.08 1 22 8-4
6 Polar Bears 0.991 1933.20 55.86 2 19 14-4
7 Rally 0.991 1930.67 56.78 1 22 11-7
8 BFG 0.99 1955.54 75.42 1 27 13-5
9 shame. 0.989 1952.05 72.37 2 18 7-5
10 AMP 0.981 1940.38 70.52 1 21 10-2
11 Union 0.974 1915.80 64.00 1 22 10-2
12 California Burrito 0.896 1847.17 41.11 6 22 12-6
13 Lotus 0.632 1811.10 75.15 5 30 11-7
14 Toro 0.624 1822.49 92.74 2 33 5-7
15 Sprocket 0.509 1792.89 84.45 3 32 7-5
16 Sego 0.453 1787.26 64.44 4 27 13-6
17 Mischief 0.444 1787.14 51.95 6 27 11-7
18 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0.352 1761.44 75.81 6 33 12-6
19 Odyssée 0.29 1766.32 56.55 6 32 12-1
20 Drag'n Thrust 0.287 1749.92 67.38 7 32 6-6
21 Royals 0.282 1744.03 80.38 4 39 6-0
22 Spice 0.086 1682.61 83.10 10 46 12-3
23 Good Company 0.068 1638.24 117.31 5 62 8-3
24 Oregon Scorch 0.066 1722.78 45.00 9 30 11-7
25 Seattle Mixtape 0.052 1687.81 64.56 11 39 9-9
26 Roma Ultima 0.034 1667.76 72.10 10 42 17-3
27 Bar None 0.017 1605.16 91.33 11 61 10-3
28 Murmur 0.002 1580.43 81.16 13 60 15-5
29 Big Rig 0 1615.24 48.29 17 41 21-3
30 Mile High Trash 0 1562.73 57.10 20 45 7-11
31 Space Force 0 1517.06 55.77 22 54 5-13
32 Grand Army 0 1510.84 61.25 22 63 11-8
33 Brunch Club 0 1496.20 92.12 17 76 10-2
34 Wild Card 0 1495.23 63.46 20 65 9-9
35 'Shine 0 1491.17 73.81 21 63 8-10
36 Asheville Parliament 0 1483.98 64.84 25 68 13-7
37 Darkwing 0 1482.96 47.44 26 57 15-10
38 Revival 0 1473.03 62.98 23 63 15-4
39 Porch Bears 0 1435.08 81.85 24 75 10-2
40 FlyTrap 0 1432.00 56.99 28 69 11-7
41 Zero Strategy 0 1426.65 65.13 23 69 13-5
42 Spoke 0 1425.43 83.16 22 86 5-7
43 The Buoy Association 0 1410.90 68.25 24 77 9-2
44 Townies 0 1405.23 74.08 25 72 14-5
45 Lights Out 0 1404.58 62.55 26 79 11-7
46 Minnesota Star Power 0 1401.59 99.81 21 86 8-5
47 Moontower 0 1391.20 46.49 29 71 15-4
48 Spectre 0 1389.15 52.94 30 71 16-3
49 BW Ultimate 0 1358.09 71.65 30 85 11-7
50 MOONDOG 0 1352.97 86.04 25 89 3-8
51 LIT Ultimate 0 1352.81 67.83 30 84 10-9
52 Flight Club 0 1352.51 52.27 33 77 6-12
53 Jughandle 0 1350.15 78.46 26 89 13-5
54 Catalyst 0 1349.84 59.83 31 80 12-8
55 Garbage Plates 0 1339.99 66.09 31 88 11-8
56 BUMS 0 1338.49 64.07 29 87 18-3
57 Classy 0 1336.12 65.16 32 84 15-9
58 Landsharks 0 1335.40 106.70 24 98 10-1
59 Bird 0 1322.07 73.91 28 85 9-4
60 Party Wave 0 1317.46 119.47 22 116 4-2
61 Bench 0 1316.38 57.57 33 82 15-4
62 Donuts 0 1309.02 66.60 34 87 17-8
63 Fireball 0 1296.56 151.29 20 164 1-1
64 Conspiracy 0 1287.94 64.91 34 93 5-13
65 Obscure 0 1278.38 106.49 26 118 3-4
66 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 1264.93 58.61 43 93 7-5
67 Delabear 0 1252.17 90.58 30 116 10-2
68 Amber 0 1236.11 57.10 41 98 11-2
69 Harfang ultimate 0 1221.08 129.68 30 135 3-3
70 Lawless 0 1216.03 27.81 57 84 0-6
71 RAMP 0 1209.07 65.43 47 105 11-8
72 Impact 0 1208.80 90.12 35 119 8-4
73 Funk 0 1198.98 52.34 54 97 13-6
74 Viking Blood 0 1188.06 62.91 45 104 8-4
75 Anthem 0 1183.53 88.11 38 124 3-14
76 Seattle Soft Serve 0 1177.42 98.11 38 128 4-2
77 Quahogs 0 1174.70 59.81 52 107 13-6
78 Green Chiles 0 1161.33 44.07 57 103 6-6
79 HVAC 0 1144.90 50.36 61 110 10-10
80 Octonauts 0 1134.39 46.02 62 106 10-1
81 Cupcakes 0 1127.27 61.36 58 113 6-12
82 Bullet Train 0 1125.64 96.47 40 164 7-5
83 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1123.57 66.20 56 124 7-12
84 Northern Comfort 0 1121.89 105.34 39 136 9-3
85 Steamboat 0 1120.32 60.40 59 116 3-9
86 American Barbecue 0 1119.63 51.83 60 112 13-12
87 Dispatch 0 1109.71 103.88 45 143 8-5
88 Space Ghosts 0 1097.41 68.57 59 127 8-11
89 Heat Wave 0 1079.02 89.04 57 142 6-7
90 Fatal Attraction 0 1078.05 73.39 62 136 6-13
91 Malice in Wonderland 0 1072.32 54.47 71 128 7-11
92 Ant Madness 0 1071.34 53.11 68 121 14-10
93 Hive 0 1068.46 63.47 58 123 10-7
94 Shipwreck 0 1057.83 70.99 60 137 13-5
95 CLX 0 1047.14 52.84 68 128 11-8
96 Armory 0 1034.70 48.05 75 126 10-7
97 Chicago Parlay 0 1032.48 69.01 65 142 6-13
98 Pegasus 0 1031.03 65.04 69 134 10-8
99 Mango 0 1029.77 76.26 65 143 10-9
100 Twist 0 1028.95 72.61 65 143 11-8
101 Lampshade 0 1018.76 52.20 75 134 7-17
102 Nova 0 1011.01 120.27 53 165 3-3
103 MCO 0 1004.92 53.36 73 132 6-7
104 Sin Nombre 0 999.22 75.61 70 148 10-8
105 PS 0 994.50 59.07 75 134 13-7
106 Robot 0 990.98 68.66 73 139 8-4
107 League of Shadows 0 990.66 60.18 77 138 11-8
108 No Touching! 0 980.37 59.02 79 135 7-3
109 Farm Show 0 977.26 67.52 73 143 6-8
110 Prion 0 964.47 45.36 86 132 12-7
111 Legion 0 962.28 64.03 75 147 8-8
112 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 961.02 52.26 77 139 13-5
113 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 959.43 84.99 68 159 11-4
114 Akron Nimb 0 945.71 59.19 81 146 9-3
115 Family Style 0 939.96 68.74 77 155 9-9
116 Sugar High 0 939.17 62.40 79 164 6-7
117 Choco Ghost House 0 933.32 61.35 81 148 6-6
118 Virginia Vanguard 0 930.92 61.14 86 149 3-1
119 T Party 0 930.45 47.39 83 148 6-12
120 NY Swipes 0 906.33 92.10 75 161 7-6
121 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 904.46 56.62 91 151 8-11
122 Axolotls 0 902.61 74.12 78 171 10-9
123 Taproot 0 900.73 67.19 84 155 9-6
124 Cowpoke 0 890.73 80.03 81 171 3-3
125 Sailboat 0 878.43 136.02 49 187 4-2
126 Karma 0 864.92 72.40 87 168 7-4
127 MoonPi 0 863.06 57.97 96 160 7-12
128 Pushovers 0 861.71 57.74 97 155 11-5
129 Stackcats 0 851.45 56.90 96 160 15-9
130 Grit City 0 845.27 83.56 90 177 9-9
131 B-Unit 0 842.05 87.37 78 178 4-3
132 Utah Sundrift 0 839.64 45.82 106 154 6-6
133 Drip 0 833.77 72.61 89 176 5-7
134 MN Superior 0 831.05 78.49 88 172 6-0
135 ConSTLation 0 825.86 82.87 70 173 7-5
136 Tempo 0 824.70 73.32 93 169 9-8
137 Temu Fitness Number One 0 813.43 101.36 83 177 5-0
138 Boomtown Pandas 0 800.61 86.06 89 183 7-6
139 FLI 0 794.97 52.04 115 170 10-7
140 QCO 0 792.38 78.62 104 186 10-9
141 Smack! 0 791.91 76.00 96 187 4-2
142 Pier Pressure 0 789.62 74.33 103 187 4-8
143 Queen City Gambit 0 784.24 75.50 101 177 7-11
144 Toast! 0 773.95 73.97 107 179 10-8
145 Spoiler Alert 0 765.39 76.96 103 184 7-11
146 solAR 0 762.15 50.92 118 170 13-10
147 Goose Run 0 744.52 77.08 103 193 4-8
148 Philadelphia Forge 0 743.36 88.54 96 190 2-4
149 Swing Vote 0 741.13 133.96 78 199 2-2
150 KOI 0 725.59 131.41 86 204 3-1
151 Heavy Flow 0 723.88 59.93 121 184 6-9
152 Erosion 0 706.22 78.33 116 193 2-10
153 Igneous Ultimate 0 705.70 74.60 115 192 3-8
154 Risky Business 0 704.82 65.14 122 188 7-12
155 Duck Parade 0 704.72 71.95 115 192 9-10
156 Rampage 0 693.00 65.85 124 194 3-10
157 Aged Cheddar 0 683.14 81.30 118 200 5-5
158 Goose Chase 0 679.50 65.54 125 190 4-13
159 Obelisk 0 672.07 65.65 125 190 6-10
160 BOP 0 668.86 87.08 119 203 5-7
161 Heat Wave 0 664.57 100.02 93 202 2-4
162 Jumbo Slice 0 655.49 80.06 122 200 5-8
163 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 655.09 71.17 118 199 4-8
164 Young and the Restless 0 646.87 40.13 142 191 6-6
165 Mousetrap 0 641.82 55.21 140 191 4-8
166 The Strangers 0 638.06 66.70 130 198 3-9
167 Garbage Pla(C)e 0 622.44 122.28 117 214 5-3
168 Mashed 0 610.74 60.02 132 197 7-12
169 Scarecrow 0 609.16 61.54 142 201 4-14
170 Equinox 0 608.80 155.60 87 215 3-3
171 Boxcar 0 603.19 100.14 97 214 2-3
172 Limbo 0 600.04 62.87 137 197 6-7
173 Birds of Paradise 0 599.80 71.54 138 202 6-12
174 All Jeeps, All Night. 0 597.83 74.82 128 204 2-9
175 Jabba 0 591.79 70.55 136 203 9-9
176 Brooklyn Hive 0 582.97 50.44 146 196 9-12
177 Mad Udderburn 0 575.27 67.70 141 205 4-8
178 Y'all 0 570.58 87.60 124 208 3-8
179 S.O.S 0 569.29 97.48 127 208 3-8
180 Squid Inc. 0 563.68 73.04 138 203 5-7
181 Rainbow 0 558.33 65.39 145 206 12-9
182 ELevate 0 557.39 65.75 144 203 8-16
183 Magnanimouse 0 552.34 81.65 142 210 5-14
184 Lightning 0 532.71 84.42 141 211 4-11
185 Skooks 0 527.22 102.50 132 222 2-4
186 Skyhawks 0 524.02 52.94 149 203 13-11
187 VU 0 516.53 59.50 156 208 3-15
188 Philly Twist 0 492.27 68.41 153 209 6-11
189 Dreamcatcher 0 484.10 19.29 180 198 1-3
190 Kappa 0 475.43 111.15 129 218 3-3
191 Frostbite 0 468.90 92.08 141 216 4-7
192 Crucible 0 463.65 69.62 162 213 8-12
193 The Force 0 463.26 50.33 161 210 11-6
194 Columbus Chaos 0 462.15 86.62 146 214 4-12
195 Pandamonium 0 455.04 96.45 151 217 3-7
196 Fault Line 0 438.98 78.08 154 217 1-11
197 Cutthroat 0 437.83 83.09 152 216 2-10
198 Bald Eagles 0 434.65 117.04 143 223 1-6
199 Discosauriscus 0 431.91 86.49 156 221 1-3
200 Lemonade Ultimate 0 419.32 65.52 163 213 5-7
201 Damfast and Friends 0 405.90 51.56 178 210 2-3
202 Verdant 0 391.91 95.64 160 224 2-16
203 District Cocktails 0 388.39 70.04 166 216 3-13
204 UV Rays 0 350.66 68.38 177 218 3-7
205 STL CELESTIAL 0 341.71 63.02 166 219 6-12
206 Moonlight Ultimate 0 310.56 56.82 180 220 1-11
207 JAWN 0 304.70 79.00 182 222 2-2
208 SkyLab 0 290.20 63.61 188 221 0-12
209 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon 0 284.95 83.79 176 225 3-3
210 flATLine 0 284.18 87.65 174 227 0-6
211 New South Soul 0 262.89 67.70 192 225 1-15
212 Melt 0 258.95 64.37 191 224 6-10
213 Mastodon 0 226.90 93.28 187 228 5-7
214 Pixel 0 193.37 50.02 204 226 3-14
215 Wellman & the Terribles 0 180.25 84.10 197 230 2-3
216 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 156.14 66.08 202 229 4-12
217 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 155.60 70.97 198 230 3-11
218 Sugar Shack 0 141.48 78.39 201 230 1-4
219 The Midwest Goodbye 0 125.83 68.28 200 230 4-7
220 UFO Ultimate 0 111.87 79.54 202 232 2-1
221 Domino Effect 0 69.44 81.42 205 232 1-23
222 Voltage 0 60.40 99.08 201 233 1-8
223 PterodaCTyl 0 59.58 73.23 205 232 0-4
224 Hartford Current 0 26.70 46.81 215 230 0-9
225 Arms Race 0 25.95 83.32 207 232 1-11
226 Dinosaur Fancy 0 24.10 79.89 206 232 2-4
227 Takeout 0 6.57 158.81 192 235 0-6
228 Lake Superior Disc 0 -7.05 42.81 218 232 4-8
229 DEVYL U-20 Mixed 0 -72.95 188.19 187 235 0-6
230 Lobster Disque 0 -76.67 82.11 214 233 0-5
231 Columbus Cohesion 0 -104.81 85.56 214 234 0-11
232 Geri-Mander 0 -248.58 102.14 222 235 0-6
233 NEW Groove 0 -317.53 40.52 230 235 1-4
234 Compost Plates 0 -467.44 153.64 226 235 0-5
235 Ultraviolet 0 -599.15 223.93 208 235 0-5