Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 0.48 Hybrid 40.70%,   Union 7.50%,  
1 Mid-Atlantic 1.10 AMP 74.40%,   Spice 35.40%,   Rally 0.60%,   Pittsburgh Port Authority 0.10%,  
1 North Central 0.38 Drag'n Thrust 38.00%,  
2 Northeast 2.10 XIST 99.90%,   Slow 95.40%,   Sprocket 15.00%,  
4 Northwest 4.25 Royals 99.90%,   Lights Out 98.50%,   BFG 97.30%,   Seattle Mixtape 74.80%,   Porch Bears 25.50%,   Viking Blood 16.60%,   Sego 11.60%,   Oregon Scorch 0.80%,   Bullet Train 0.50%,  
1 South Central 1.95 shame. 98.00%,   Austin Disco Club 96.70%,   Mile High Trash 0.70%,  
1 Southeast 0.14 Roma Ultima 13.40%,   Catalyst 0.30%,  
5 Southwest 5.58 Tower 98.90%,   Polar Bears 96.60%,   LIT Ultimate 90.20%,   Lotus 64.70%,   Mischief 49.70%,   BW Ultimate 46.20%,   California Burrito 40.80%,   Donuts 34.00%,   Landsharks 23.50%,   Classy 7.50%,   American Barbecue 5.50%,   Mango 0.70%,   Shipwreck 0.10%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 0.482 1.105 0.380 2.103 4.255 1.954 0.137 5.584
Autos (all @ 1) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 3.255 0.954 -0.863 4.584
Southwest (@ 2) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 3.255 0.954 -0.863 3.584
Southwest (@ 3) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 3.255 0.954 -0.863 2.584
Northwest (@ 2) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 2.255 0.954 -0.863 2.584
Southwest (@ 4) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 2.255 0.954 -0.863 1.584
Northwest (@ 3) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 1.255 0.954 -0.863 1.584
Southwest (@ 5) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 1.255 0.954 -0.863 0.584
Northwest (@ 4) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 1.103 0.255 0.954 -0.863 0.584
Northeast (@ 2) -0.518 0.105 -0.620 0.103 0.255 0.954 -0.863 0.584
Total 1 1 1 2 4 1 1 5

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Royals 0.999 2293.32 113.50 1 17 6-0
2 XIST 0.999 2104.36 83.74 1 18 5-1
3 Tower 0.989 2046.28 81.14 1 20 9-3
4 Lights Out 0.985 2002.18 67.61 1 23 4-2
5 shame. 0.98 2093.06 119.02 1 25 5-1
6 BFG 0.973 2023.16 91.15 1 25 9-3
7 Austin Disco Club 0.967 2033.09 89.72 1 27 4-2
8 Polar Bears 0.966 1999.52 74.91 1 26 9-3
9 Slow 0.954 2013.62 91.24 1 22 5-1
10 LIT Ultimate 0.902 1966.15 85.43 1 29 5-1
11 Seattle Mixtape 0.748 1913.69 92.89 1 35 3-3
12 AMP 0.744 1933.76 120.25 1 37 5-1
13 Lotus 0.647 1892.95 95.32 2 35 7-5
14 Mischief 0.497 1853.92 75.87 4 35 6-6
15 BW Ultimate 0.462 1834.61 160.56 1 65 4-2
16 California Burrito 0.408 1846.39 63.33 6 32 3-3
17 Hybrid 0.407 1839.33 82.94 4 38 4-2
18 Drag'n Thrust 0.38 1836.38 71.75 4 38 4-2
19 Spice 0.354 1786.81 194.35 1 85 6-1
20 Donuts 0.34 1814.75 110.32 1 43 9-3
21 Porch Bears 0.255 1791.76 102.99 3 48 4-2
22 Landsharks 0.235 1738.21 166.46 1 70 5-1
23 Viking Blood 0.166 1786.55 72.71 7 41 4-2
24 Sprocket 0.15 1744.64 104.26 4 50 4-2
25 Roma Ultima 0.134 1735.03 116.59 6 49 7-0
26 Sego 0.116 1760.59 78.92 7 39 6-6
27 Union 0.075 1744.31 82.72 8 41 4-2
28 Classy 0.075 1722.12 93.73 4 48 8-4
29 American Barbecue 0.055 1740.18 76.33 7 44 8-4
30 Oregon Scorch 0.008 1726.07 49.51 15 41 7-5
31 Mile High Trash 0.007 1672.24 71.94 14 44 4-8
32 Mango 0.007 1581.03 105.63 11 66 7-5
33 Rally 0.006 1705.17 57.76 13 40 3-3
34 Bullet Train 0.005 1586.23 115.19 8 76 5-1
35 Catalyst 0.003 1464.89 148.84 11 96 4-3
36 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0.001 1501.28 101.48 15 81 3-3
37 Shipwreck 0.001 1429.06 130.86 12 96 3-3
38 Octonauts 0 1659.46 29.94 21 39 6-0
39 Odyssée [Senior] 0 1589.39 48.81 24 47 12-1
40 Hive 0 1560.63 63.58 22 59 7-4
41 Big Rig 0 1519.36 62.30 27 57 11-2
42 FlyTrap 0 1509.64 98.96 21 72 6-0
43 Choco Ghost House 0 1490.63 54.64 27 65 3-3
44 MOONDOG 0 1473.56 72.49 27 71 2-4
45 Grand Army 0 1424.18 74.99 26 81 9-4
46 Bar None 0 1423.64 102.88 26 93 5-2
47 Space Force 0 1418.31 96.50 27 83 2-4
48 Pegasus 0 1410.49 76.35 29 75 4-2
49 Murmur 0 1389.49 134.58 17 101 4-3
50 Brunch Club 0 1374.64 57.64 37 76 5-1
51 Wild Card 0 1367.38 76.70 34 84 2-4
52 Drip 0 1365.60 122.14 31 96 2-4
53 'Shine 0 1365.51 89.37 29 87 3-3
54 Sin Nombre 0 1357.81 62.38 38 80 6-6
55 Family Style 0 1357.25 75.03 31 83 6-6
56 Robot 0 1331.64 101.22 33 98 4-2
57 Spoke 0 1323.54 53.43 40 79 1-5
58 Space Ghosts 0 1316.53 45.91 42 80 3-3
59 Conspiracy 0 1311.36 93.43 34 98 1-5
60 Green Chiles 0 1306.54 59.29 39 85 3-3
61 Delabear 0 1282.39 123.71 27 104 6-0
62 Moontower 0 1268.63 90.64 37 98 6-0
63 Revival 0 1266.59 102.95 39 106 5-2
64 Lawless 0 1262.17 25.20 51 76 0-6
65 Asheville Parliament 0 1255.95 106.77 31 104 4-3
66 HVAC 0 1254.01 68.06 41 100 4-2
67 Erosion 0 1253.04 90.88 41 102 0-6
68 The Buoy Association 0 1246.34 126.46 34 111 6-0
69 Spectre 0 1238.10 99.45 39 102 7-0
70 Flight Club 0 1233.87 64.11 44 98 1-5
71 Darkwing 0 1229.45 62.68 49 98 7-6
72 Goose Chase 0 1215.39 59.70 45 92 3-9
73 Anthem 0 1211.18 113.66 37 113 0-6
74 Spoiler Alert 0 1194.57 95.27 35 116 5-7
75 Zero Strategy 0 1190.49 67.38 47 102 8-5
76 Goose Run 0 1190.10 89.93 41 110 2-4
77 Grit City 0 1187.39 80.62 44 105 5-7
78 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 1177.57 94.68 38 109 3-3
79 Townies 0 1177.38 90.03 44 110 8-5
80 Garbage Plates 0 1151.08 81.92 49 108 6-7
81 Malice in Wonderland 0 1133.75 63.40 54 107 3-4
82 Dispatch 0 1131.38 122.37 36 125 5-2
83 Bird 0 1124.04 109.93 46 122 5-2
84 Bench 0 1114.27 84.00 52 113 9-4
85 Obscure 0 1105.05 104.34 46 126 3-4
86 Igneous Ultimate 0 1087.77 127.83 42 138 1-4
87 Jughandle 0 1084.40 73.25 59 115 7-5
88 Birds of Paradise 0 1077.13 75.05 58 115 5-7
89 Harfang ultimate 0 1067.32 130.95 45 127 3-3
90 Quahogs 0 1052.99 70.14 69 114 8-5
91 BUMS 0 1048.16 68.55 65 110 13-1
92 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1042.30 71.25 66 116 5-8
93 Impact 0 1037.93 82.82 60 122 8-4
94 Heat Wave 0 1036.84 105.06 51 128 3-4
95 MCO 0 1028.43 73.28 66 113 3-3
96 Axolotls 0 1026.21 140.93 44 143 4-2
97 Ant Madness 0 1011.76 57.74 73 115 4-3
98 RAMP 0 1005.47 91.39 45 128 5-2
99 Cupcakes 0 1005.37 61.48 75 117 4-8
100 Amber 0 987.34 53.47 81 120 11-2
101 Fatal Attraction 0 974.07 107.32 58 134 2-5
102 Funk 0 964.91 82.13 68 131 4-3
103 Legion 0 963.38 90.10 62 126 3-3
104 Chicago Parlay 0 958.08 66.27 78 126 5-2
105 Lampshade 0 949.30 74.87 74 127 3-10
106 Good Company 0 938.06 97.25 58 132 5-0
107 CLX 0 910.68 81.45 79 134 5-2
108 Heavy Flow 0 900.91 118.95 67 155 3-2
109 VU 0 892.02 80.27 77 128 2-10
110 Cutthroat 0 872.13 95.39 77 145 1-5
111 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 865.69 31.23 99 121 4-2
112 League of Shadows 0 859.75 80.65 80 138 8-5
113 Twist 0 849.92 78.34 84 138 9-3
114 Farm Show 0 848.87 79.00 86 137 3-4
115 Karma 0 807.82 65.33 95 135 4-2
116 Prion 0 802.16 41.52 102 130 9-4
117 Cowpoke 0 787.04 58.15 102 138 3-3
118 Armory 0 764.05 45.17 105 134 7-4
119 Utah Sundrift 0 756.10 45.13 106 148 4-2
120 T Party 0 746.70 64.45 102 142 5-8
121 Moonlight Ultimate 0 738.16 79.78 100 148 1-5
122 Philadelphia Forge 0 736.82 82.89 91 156 2-4
123 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 730.35 55.73 107 140 4-2
124 District Cocktails 0 706.08 70.86 105 149 1-5
125 Taproot 0 704.76 68.00 105 153 7-3
126 Northern Comfort 0 679.45 92.39 101 164 4-2
127 Sugar High 0 672.23 51.92 111 150 6-7
128 Obelisk 0 659.56 90.63 104 162 1-5
129 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 650.65 73.70 105 160 2-5
130 SkyLab 0 645.71 105.51 88 169 0-6
131 PS 0 643.31 57.09 113 153 3-4
132 Stackcats 0 629.34 62.59 114 159 7-5
133 Rainbow 0 622.61 61.93 113 158 7-3
134 Sailboat 0 605.88 132.58 95 173 4-2
135 Akron Nimb 0 595.57 84.67 111 169 4-2
136 Brooklyn Hive 0 588.96 55.76 119 156 5-4
137 Rampage 0 583.02 63.59 119 161 2-5
138 Tempo 0 573.96 115.47 95 171 3-4
139 B-Unit 0 571.58 90.89 110 170 4-3
140 Queen City Gambit 0 565.91 69.30 117 165 6-6
141 Jumbo Slice 0 546.29 74.76 116 169 3-4
142 MoonPi 0 545.95 72.91 115 168 6-8
143 solAR 0 542.02 59.34 123 166 11-6
144 The Strangers 0 536.06 102.25 112 175 1-4
145 Philly Twist 0 515.12 62.92 124 168 2-3
146 Pier Pressure 0 504.67 116.16 115 176 1-5
147 Duck Parade 0 502.15 81.33 119 171 6-7
148 QCO 0 499.39 76.61 121 171 6-7
149 Frostbite 0 494.64 71.21 120 170 3-3
150 Toast! 0 490.01 92.60 112 174 2-4
151 Aged Cheddar 0 482.78 115.65 112 179 2-3
152 Mad Udderburn 0 469.74 52.76 134 168 2-4
153 Jabba 0 463.76 101.53 118 175 3-3
154 FLI 0 456.81 80.27 120 178 2-2
155 Takeout 0 433.37 163.00 103 187 0-6
156 All Jeeps, All Night. [A] 0 420.15 65.53 129 174 1-4
157 ConSTLation 0 408.07 53.42 138 173 2-4
158 Equinox 0 407.39 124.77 111 183 3-3
159 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 393.55 68.99 134 176 3-3
160 Risky Business 0 392.04 76.16 136 176 3-10
161 Columbus Chaos 0 384.86 160.60 114 187 2-5
162 Scarecrow 0 381.89 74.90 129 177 4-9
163 Boomtown Pandas 0 377.64 80.36 128 177 2-4
164 Mashed 0 373.07 81.14 132 178 2-4
165 Mousetrap 0 361.88 74.44 136 178 1-5
166 JAWN 0 346.34 65.31 141 179 2-2
167 Young and the Restless 0 344.17 82.71 135 179 1-6
168 Lightning 0 328.87 230.71 82 192 3-2
169 Verdant 0 300.92 151.31 114 188 1-6
170 Y'all 0 285.61 126.65 126 187 1-5
171 Skyhawks 0 258.75 54.83 157 180 5-7
172 Dreamcatcher 0 235.34 20.90 165 178 1-3
173 ELevate 0 233.63 79.45 143 183 2-10
174 Bald Eagles 0 164.58 116.75 133 189 1-6
175 Magnanimouse 0 157.16 215.03 116 192 1-6
176 Crucible 0 150.72 100.50 155 189 4-4
177 STL CELESTIAL 0 120.16 61.60 165 186 4-8
178 Voltage 0 117.31 137.05 142 192 1-4
179 Fault Line 0 91.96 71.87 168 190 0-6
180 Arms Race 0 81.11 108.11 152 191 0-6
181 New South Soul 0 29.32 47.83 173 189 1-15
182 flATLine 0 27.16 78.35 168 189 0-6
183 Domino Effect 0 8.62 100.56 165 192 0-12
184 Hartford Current 0 -15.56 49.67 175 189 0-4
185 UV Rays 0 -20.23 141.78 156 192 1-4
186 PterodaCTyl 0 -39.05 51.93 175 189 0-4
187 Pixel 0 -92.11 79.09 175 192 2-9
188 Sugar Shack 0 -102.91 92.10 175 192 1-4
189 Mastodon 0 -143.58 166.44 154 192 1-5
190 UFO Ultimate 0 -304.41 38.68 188 192 2-1
191 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 -337.51 36.49 188 192 1-7
192 Columbus Cohesion 0 -341.14 163.12 174 193 0-5
193 Compost Plates 0 -910.98 154.42 192 193 0-3