Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ



Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 1.97 Hybrid 100.00%,   Union 96.60%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.32 Rally 98.40%,   AMP 97.20%,   Pittsburgh Port Authority 28.10%,   Spice 7.80%,   Fireball 0.20%,  
1 North Central 0.57 Drag'n Thrust 47.80%,   Good Company 9.60%,  
3 Northeast 2.81 XIST 100.00%,   Slow 99.80%,   Sprocket 51.70%,   Odyssée 29.70%,  
2 Northwest 1.89 BFG 98.40%,   Sego 53.60%,   Royals 24.80%,   Oregon Scorch 7.50%,   Seattle Mixtape 5.10%,  
1 South Central 1.75 Austin Disco Club 99.80%,   shame. 75.70%,  
1 Southeast 0.67 Toro 61.50%,   Roma Ultima 3.40%,   Bar None 1.50%,   Murmur 0.30%,  
4 Southwest 4.01 Tower 100.00%,   Polar Bears 99.00%,   California Burrito 88.10%,   Lotus 61.30%,   Mischief 53.10%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.966 2.317 0.574 2.812 1.894 1.755 0.667 4.015
Autos (all @ 1) 0.966 1.317 -0.426 1.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 3.015
Southwest (@ 2) 0.966 1.317 -0.426 1.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 2.015
Southwest (@ 3) 0.966 1.317 -0.426 1.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 1.015
Northeast (@ 2) 0.966 1.317 -0.426 0.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 1.015
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.966 0.317 -0.426 0.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 1.015
Southwest (@ 4) 0.966 0.317 -0.426 0.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 0.015
Great Lakes (@ 2) -0.034 0.317 -0.426 0.812 0.894 0.755 -0.333 0.015
Northwest (@ 2) -0.034 0.317 -0.426 0.812 -0.106 0.755 -0.333 0.015
Northeast (@ 3) -0.034 0.317 -0.426 -0.188 -0.106 0.755 -0.333 0.015
Total 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 4

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 XIST 1 2118.14 72.75 1 9 10-2
2 Hybrid 1 2063.80 58.57 1 11 15-3
3 Tower 1 2023.38 65.99 1 13 15-3
4 Austin Disco Club 0.998 2011.14 71.66 1 18 13-5
5 Slow 0.998 1971.30 58.82 1 17 12-6
6 Polar Bears 0.99 1918.09 54.13 2 19 14-4
7 BFG 0.984 1942.08 75.73 1 20 13-5
8 Rally 0.984 1898.65 57.64 3 25 11-7
9 AMP 0.972 1914.07 72.91 1 22 10-2
10 Union 0.966 1886.88 65.51 2 25 10-2
11 California Burrito 0.881 1832.33 41.20 5 23 12-6
12 shame. 0.757 1823.03 72.19 2 27 9-9
13 Toro 0.615 1801.19 70.41 3 29 7-11
14 Lotus 0.613 1799.65 75.40 4 31 11-7
15 Sego 0.536 1783.17 64.63 5 27 13-6
16 Mischief 0.531 1781.19 52.59 5 27 11-7
17 Sprocket 0.517 1779.97 66.10 5 29 11-7
18 Drag'n Thrust 0.478 1770.53 73.33 5 30 9-9
19 Odyssée 0.297 1748.94 56.55 5 28 12-1
20 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0.281 1743.36 75.28 6 32 12-6
21 Royals 0.248 1730.78 80.38 5 43 6-0
22 Good Company 0.096 1622.00 117.02 6 70 8-3
23 Spice 0.078 1665.71 83.05 9 52 12-3
24 Oregon Scorch 0.075 1710.41 48.79 10 29 11-7
25 Seattle Mixtape 0.051 1677.74 65.36 10 38 9-9
26 Roma Ultima 0.034 1650.91 72.09 9 47 17-3
27 Bar None 0.015 1588.32 91.32 8 55 10-3
28 Murmur 0.003 1563.53 81.14 10 60 15-5
29 Fireball 0.002 1279.55 151.21 13 129 1-1
30 Big Rig 0 1597.16 48.47 19 42 21-3
31 Mile High Trash 0 1550.25 57.18 18 54 7-11
32 Space Force 0 1492.53 54.77 21 63 5-13
33 Grand Army 0 1490.95 61.08 21 66 11-8
34 Brunch Club 0 1479.35 92.17 18 76 10-2
35 Wild Card 0 1479.31 62.75 24 58 9-9
36 'Shine 0 1472.24 73.71 18 69 8-10
37 Asheville Parliament 0 1467.44 64.83 23 69 13-7
38 Darkwing 0 1466.15 47.49 25 59 15-10
39 Revival 0 1455.94 62.96 24 65 15-4
40 Porch Bears 0 1421.83 81.85 22 76 10-2
41 Spoke 0 1419.47 82.72 21 80 5-7
42 FlyTrap 0 1414.21 56.90 27 70 11-7
43 Zero Strategy 0 1409.27 65.15 26 74 13-5
44 The Buoy Association 0 1393.51 68.23 27 73 9-2
45 Lights Out 0 1391.36 62.53 27 72 11-7
46 Minnesota Star Power 0 1388.39 99.75 23 85 8-5
47 Townies 0 1388.01 74.09 25 78 14-5
48 Moontower 0 1378.45 46.28 29 69 15-4
49 Spectre 0 1372.67 52.94 31 72 16-3
50 BW Ultimate 0 1345.59 71.59 30 91 11-7
51 Flight Club 0 1339.53 52.23 35 75 6-12
52 LIT Ultimate 0 1338.99 68.14 29 78 10-9
53 Catalyst 0 1332.95 59.82 30 80 12-8
54 Jughandle 0 1332.77 78.49 28 90 13-5
55 MOONDOG 0 1331.76 86.44 28 90 3-8
56 Classy 0 1323.37 65.19 30 81 15-9
57 Garbage Plates 0 1322.69 66.12 31 84 11-8
58 Landsharks 0 1322.12 106.73 22 103 10-1
59 BUMS 0 1322.08 64.04 31 88 18-3
60 Lawless 0 1319.86 43.08 37 75 0-12
61 Bird 0 1305.58 73.93 31 92 9-4
62 Party Wave 0 1304.20 119.47 17 119 4-2
63 Bench 0 1299.42 57.57 35 88 15-4
64 Donuts 0 1295.83 66.62 34 83 17-8
65 Conspiracy 0 1271.04 64.49 35 95 5-13
66 Obscure 0 1261.02 106.49 24 124 3-4
67 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 1249.29 58.61 33 90 7-5
68 Delabear 0 1235.03 90.59 30 109 10-2
69 Amber 0 1220.73 56.94 46 93 11-2
70 Harfang ultimate 0 1203.74 129.75 27 129 3-3
71 Impact 0 1193.72 90.00 39 135 8-4
72 RAMP 0 1192.28 65.32 47 107 11-8
73 Funk 0 1181.69 52.37 53 99 13-6
74 Viking Blood 0 1174.80 62.91 46 106 8-4
75 Seattle Soft Serve 0 1164.16 98.11 31 136 4-2
76 Anthem 0 1163.23 86.57 45 120 3-14
77 Quahogs 0 1157.48 59.81 47 110 13-6
78 Green Chiles 0 1149.93 44.59 56 97 6-6
79 HVAC 0 1127.78 50.38 64 108 10-10
80 Octonauts 0 1120.97 46.02 66 110 10-1
81 Bullet Train 0 1112.34 96.45 34 134 7-5
82 Cupcakes 0 1110.68 60.42 56 114 6-12
83 American Barbecue 0 1106.46 51.83 61 113 13-12
84 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1106.34 66.20 57 112 7-12
85 Northern Comfort 0 1105.48 105.36 41 142 9-3
86 Steamboat 0 1103.81 59.91 61 117 3-9
87 Dispatch 0 1093.13 103.86 48 144 8-5
88 Space Ghosts 0 1084.40 68.53 57 136 8-11
89 Fatal Attraction 0 1062.34 72.54 58 134 6-13
90 Heat Wave 0 1061.74 89.01 53 141 6-7
91 Malice in Wonderland 0 1055.39 54.47 68 124 7-11
92 Hive 0 1055.18 63.46 65 132 10-7
93 Ant Madness 0 1054.25 53.11 62 123 14-10
94 Shipwreck 0 1044.44 70.98 64 131 13-5
95 CLX 0 1030.42 52.72 72 123 11-8
96 Armory 0 1018.48 48.07 75 126 10-7
97 Pegasus 0 1017.84 65.05 73 148 10-8
98 Mango 0 1016.69 76.29 60 151 10-9
99 Chicago Parlay 0 1016.20 68.93 65 142 6-13
100 Twist 0 1012.16 72.61 64 143 11-8
101 Lampshade 0 1001.53 52.19 73 144 7-17
102 Nova 0 997.75 120.28 45 158 3-3
103 MCO 0 987.97 53.36 75 135 6-7
104 Sin Nombre 0 985.20 75.49 69 147 10-8
105 Robot 0 977.40 68.65 70 143 8-4
106 PS 0 977.34 59.08 75 145 13-7
107 League of Shadows 0 973.40 60.17 79 139 11-8
108 No Touching! 0 963.80 59.03 81 140 7-3
109 Farm Show 0 960.27 67.53 74 148 6-8
110 Prion 0 947.98 45.36 83 138 12-7
111 Legion 0 945.31 64.01 74 145 8-8
112 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 944.49 52.27 84 144 13-5
113 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 942.90 85.00 66 161 11-4
114 Akron Nimb 0 929.20 59.21 84 146 9-3
115 Family Style 0 926.55 68.71 78 148 9-9
116 Sugar High 0 923.51 62.37 78 146 6-7
117 Choco Ghost House 0 920.06 61.34 82 151 6-6
118 Virginia Vanguard 0 913.84 61.13 82 148 3-1
119 T Party 0 913.02 47.32 87 149 6-12
120 NY Swipes 0 889.24 92.11 77 172 7-6
121 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 887.58 56.61 91 149 8-11
122 Axolotls 0 885.51 74.14 80 160 10-9
123 Taproot 0 883.53 67.20 87 162 9-6
124 Cowpoke 0 877.94 79.91 73 165 3-3
125 Sailboat 0 861.87 136.00 61 206 4-2
126 Karma 0 851.54 72.44 89 170 7-4
127 MoonPi 0 846.65 57.94 96 164 7-12
128 Pushovers 0 845.24 57.76 90 161 11-5
129 Stackcats 0 834.96 56.90 100 160 15-9
130 Grit City 0 832.00 83.56 86 180 9-9
131 Utah Sundrift 0 826.66 45.90 106 160 6-6
132 B-Unit 0 825.63 87.37 87 173 4-3
133 Drip 0 820.50 72.61 84 175 5-7
134 MN Superior 0 814.56 78.49 78 180 6-0
135 ConSTLation 0 809.34 82.88 90 181 7-5
136 Tempo 0 808.24 73.32 95 174 9-8
137 Temu Fitness Number One 0 796.27 101.36 83 192 5-0
138 Boomtown Pandas 0 784.05 86.06 89 185 7-6
139 Smack! 0 778.57 76.00 92 184 4-2
140 FLI 0 777.90 52.06 110 170 10-7
141 QCO 0 776.14 78.62 96 180 10-9
142 Pier Pressure 0 772.50 74.32 99 182 4-8
143 Queen City Gambit 0 767.69 75.49 96 188 7-11
144 Toast! 0 757.48 73.97 104 185 10-8
145 Spoiler Alert 0 751.97 76.96 102 178 7-11
146 solAR 0 745.85 50.93 121 170 13-10
147 Goose Run 0 731.25 77.08 102 194 4-8
148 Philadelphia Forge 0 726.43 88.54 101 198 2-4
149 Swing Vote 0 724.06 133.93 72 203 2-2
150 KOI 0 709.08 131.41 74 203 3-1
151 Heavy Flow 0 706.73 59.93 117 184 6-9
152 Erosion 0 692.65 78.34 118 192 2-10
153 Igneous Ultimate 0 692.43 74.59 113 191 3-8
154 Risky Business 0 688.84 65.13 125 187 7-12
155 Duck Parade 0 688.33 71.96 113 193 9-10
156 Rampage 0 676.13 65.87 124 186 3-10
157 Goose Chase 0 666.16 65.54 110 191 4-13
158 Aged Cheddar 0 665.95 81.29 113 197 5-5
159 BOP 0 655.55 87.08 116 198 5-7
160 Obelisk 0 654.98 65.65 124 191 6-10
161 Heat Wave 0 651.30 100.02 109 204 2-4
162 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 641.55 71.17 130 194 4-8
163 Jumbo Slice 0 638.54 80.06 122 200 5-8
164 Young and the Restless 0 629.67 40.12 145 183 6-6
165 Mousetrap 0 625.34 55.21 139 192 4-8
166 The Strangers 0 624.81 66.63 131 203 3-9
167 Garbage Pla(C)e 0 605.34 122.26 107 211 5-3
168 Mashed 0 593.63 60.02 128 201 7-12
169 Scarecrow 0 591.91 61.49 133 197 4-14
170 Equinox 0 591.58 155.61 64 220 3-3
171 Boxcar 0 589.75 100.15 125 206 2-3
172 Birds of Paradise 0 586.33 71.56 134 201 6-12
173 All Jeeps, All Night. 0 584.97 75.40 130 208 2-9
174 Limbo 0 583.57 62.86 137 198 6-7
175 Jabba 0 575.33 70.54 131 201 9-9
176 Brooklyn Hive 0 565.87 50.44 150 198 9-12
177 Mad Udderburn 0 558.77 67.70 140 203 4-8
178 Y'all 0 556.05 87.63 126 207 3-8
179 S.O.S 0 552.73 97.45 123 214 3-8
180 Squid Inc. 0 550.36 73.03 139 205 5-7
181 Rainbow 0 541.17 65.38 150 204 12-9
182 ELevate 0 540.87 65.75 143 203 8-16
183 Magnanimouse 0 535.51 81.64 138 212 5-14
184 Lightning 0 516.21 84.43 145 212 4-11
185 Skooks 0 510.20 102.50 134 215 2-4
186 Skyhawks 0 507.52 52.94 159 202 13-11
187 VU 0 503.21 59.51 152 209 3-15
188 Philly Twist 0 475.19 68.42 150 211 6-11
189 Dreamcatcher 0 467.87 19.30 178 200 1-3
190 Kappa 0 458.29 111.14 138 220 3-3
191 Frostbite 0 452.40 92.08 150 217 4-7
192 Crucible 0 446.88 69.61 157 212 8-12
193 The Force 0 446.76 50.33 171 208 11-6
194 Columbus Chaos 0 445.60 86.58 147 214 4-12
195 Pandamonium 0 438.49 96.44 145 220 3-7
196 Fault Line 0 426.12 78.08 155 214 1-11
197 Cutthroat 0 424.71 83.08 136 216 2-10
198 Bald Eagles 0 418.64 117.13 137 223 1-6
199 Discosauriscus 0 414.80 86.50 152 216 1-3
200 Lemonade Ultimate 0 402.85 65.52 172 215 5-7
201 Damfast and Friends 0 388.73 51.56 178 213 2-3
202 Verdant 0 375.08 95.65 155 220 2-16
203 District Cocktails 0 371.31 70.03 177 217 3-13
204 UV Rays 0 333.50 68.37 177 221 3-7
205 STL CELESTIAL 0 325.27 63.02 175 220 6-12
206 Moonlight Ultimate 0 297.21 56.85 187 221 1-11
207 JAWN 0 287.63 78.98 178 222 2-2
208 SkyLab 0 276.93 63.60 181 222 0-12
209 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon 0 268.45 83.79 185 224 3-3
210 flATLine 0 267.76 87.65 185 225 0-6
211 New South Soul 0 246.69 67.70 187 222 1-15
212 Melt 0 242.45 64.37 192 224 6-10
213 Mastodon 0 210.38 93.26 190 230 5-7
214 Pixel 0 176.83 50.01 203 225 3-14
215 Wellman & the Terribles 0 163.74 84.10 191 230 2-3
216 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 139.63 66.08 202 229 4-12
217 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 138.49 70.97 193 230 3-11
218 Sugar Shack 0 124.30 78.38 202 230 1-4
219 The Midwest Goodbye 0 109.33 68.28 201 230 4-7
220 UFO Ultimate 0 94.93 79.46 200 230 2-1
221 Domino Effect 0 52.34 81.39 203 233 1-23
222 Voltage 0 43.31 99.08 202 234 1-8
223 PterodaCTyl 0 42.47 73.22 207 232 0-4
224 Hartford Current 0 9.55 46.81 217 231 0-9
225 Arms Race 0 9.41 83.30 210 232 1-11
226 Dinosaur Fancy 0 7.58 79.89 210 232 2-4
227 Takeout 0 -6.81 158.77 177 234 0-6
228 Lake Superior Disc 0 -23.56 42.81 215 231 4-8
229 DEVYL U-20 Mixed 0 -90.04 188.16 193 235 0-6
230 Lobster Disque 0 -93.83 82.11 215 233 0-5
231 Columbus Cohesion 0 -121.32 85.55 215 234 0-11
232 Geri-Mander 0 -265.08 102.14 221 235 0-6
233 NEW Groove 0 -334.05 40.52 230 235 1-4
234 Compost Plates 0 -484.38 153.61 227 235 0-5
235 Ultraviolet 0 -615.66 223.97 212 235 0-5