Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ



Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.09 GOAT 100.00%,   Chicago Machine 100.00%,   Haymaker 9.40%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.00 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 100.00%,  
1 North Central 1.20 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 19.50%,  
4 Northeast 3.37 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Mephisto 72.70%,   Red Tide 62.20%,   Sprout 1.50%,   Magnitude 0.50%,   Blueprint 0.20%,   Phoenix 0.10%,  
3 Northwest 2.96 Sockeye 100.00%,   Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Furious George 95.60%,   Dark Star 0.20%,  
1 South Central 1.11 Johnny Bravo 98.60%,   Doublewide 12.40%,  
2 Southeast 2.10 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 9.90%,  
1 Southwest 1.17 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 17.20%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.094 2.000 1.195 3.372 2.958 1.110 2.099 1.172
Autos (all @ 1) 1.094 1.000 0.195 2.372 1.958 0.110 1.099 0.172
Northeast (@ 2) 1.094 1.000 0.195 1.372 1.958 0.110 1.099 0.172
Northwest (@ 2) 1.094 1.000 0.195 1.372 0.958 0.110 1.099 0.172
Northeast (@ 3) 1.094 1.000 0.195 0.372 0.958 0.110 1.099 0.172
Southeast (@ 2) 1.094 1.000 0.195 0.372 0.958 0.110 0.099 0.172
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.094 1.000 0.195 0.372 0.958 0.110 0.099 0.172
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.094 0.000 0.195 0.372 0.958 0.110 0.099 0.172
Northwest (@ 3) 0.094 0.000 0.195 0.372 -0.042 0.110 0.099 0.172
Northeast (@ 4) 0.094 0.000 0.195 -0.628 -0.042 0.110 0.099 0.172
Total 2 2 1 4 3 1 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Chicago Machine 1 2273.40 101.20 1 14 12-4
2 PoNY 1 2238.60 69.54 1 12 15-3
3 Rhino Slam! 1 2217.11 57.84 1 10 15-3
4 Revolver 1 2176.90 77.59 1 13 15-2
5 DiG 1 2165.62 81.86 1 14 13-5
6 Ring of Fire 1 2094.27 58.09 1 13 17-6
7 Sub Zero 1 2078.03 51.33 2 13 20-5
8 Chain Lightning 1 2073.49 53.30 2 16 16-6
9 Truck Stop 1 2060.82 61.23 1 15 15-8
10 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2054.48 52.09 3 14 16-6
11 GOAT 1 2043.80 72.49 1 16 13-4
12 Sockeye 1 2034.20 61.23 2 15 13-5
13 Johnny Bravo 0.986 1927.43 53.75 7 20 14-8
14 Furious George 0.956 1892.04 55.57 7 21 15-8
15 Mephisto 0.727 1833.43 56.96 10 25 14-10
16 Red Tide 0.622 1815.60 43.53 13 24 20-12
17 Mad Men 0.195 1772.48 44.54 12 27 22-6
18 SoCal Condors 0.172 1755.15 55.75 13 33 12-5
19 Doublewide 0.124 1733.23 62.42 13 33 18-10
20 Raleigh-Durham United 0.099 1746.23 43.48 14 27 10-7
21 Haymaker 0.094 1726.73 59.03 13 31 22-6
22 Sprout 0.015 1682.88 55.28 14 36 22-8
23 Magnitude 0.005 1666.82 51.93 16 34 10-3
24 Dark Star 0.002 1680.49 43.50 16 36 21-6
25 Blueprint 0.002 1640.38 56.24 14 42 24-7
26 Phoenix 0.001 1561.35 63.52 16 51 16-12
27 Florida Untied 0 1593.95 58.06 17 43 17-12
28 Surf 0 1586.65 52.45 18 45 9-4
29 Oak Grove Boys 0 1580.31 53.09 18 47 24-10
30 Vault 0 1578.52 44.65 20 44 15-15
31 baNC 0 1553.09 54.23 22 49 16-13
32 Flying Dutchmen 0 1523.56 56.76 22 55 17-7
33 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1522.01 47.36 23 49 18-10
34 Lounar 0 1507.87 50.97 23 51 19-12
35 Nighthawk 0 1504.02 67.91 17 59 13-10
36 I-69 0 1499.21 76.02 18 59 16-13
37 SOUF 0 1490.46 43.59 26 52 22-9
38 Tanasi 0 1487.52 66.85 21 65 21-6
39 The Expendables 0 1475.71 83.99 22 82 8-3
40 General Strike 0 1452.93 91.52 21 92 7-3
41 Fungi 0 1447.42 54.17 26 62 16-8
42 Colt 0 1437.15 59.44 26 62 24-14
43 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1421.61 51.90 27 62 24-8
44 Zodiac 0 1394.11 71.36 25 81 15-9
45 Red Circus 0 1390.45 46.38 34 65 12-7
46 Big Wrench 0 1374.82 64.58 27 82 12-10
47 Switchback 0 1353.63 49.82 35 73 14-13
48 AVE 0 1351.28 59.01 31 83 8-9
49 Knights of Ni 0 1348.07 57.18 33 77 15-9
50 Wavestorms 0 1340.42 71.62 30 93 17-4
51 Portland TremOR 0 1336.76 52.73 36 79 11-9
52 Grudge 0 1333.44 58.90 32 79 12-10
53 UPDOG 0 1320.56 84.93 30 101 13-8
54 BUDA U20B 0 1318.19 87.59 30 100 3-4
55 Mallard 0 1315.79 75.44 32 104 9-8
56 Trident 0 1302.15 62.13 36 88 19-9
57 ELDL 0 1292.74 43.74 42 84 17-12
58 Zoboomafoo 0 1270.63 48.62 40 98 15-12
59 Mint 0 1268.26 50.20 40 92 17-10
60 Jen City Executives 0 1267.78 101.55 31 123 2-3
61 Houndd 0 1255.75 102.95 30 125 7-4
62 Garden State Ultimate 0 1246.45 51.54 42 100 15-13
63 Wretched Refuse 0 1244.17 94.60 36 122 7-4
64 Club M - Manic 0 1237.33 73.00 36 112 6-7
65 Iditarod 0 1235.73 57.88 43 113 11-7
66 Lantern 0 1232.13 59.59 42 115 17-12
67 CITYWIDE Special 0 1214.17 52.71 44 106 17-13
68 Shade 0 1211.06 57.37 46 112 17-15
69 Hazard 0 1208.82 63.37 44 111 12-12
70 ISO Atmo 0 1208.11 65.13 35 110 19-10
71 Blackfish 0 1202.18 59.51 45 110 9-9
72 Alamode 0 1198.10 52.00 48 109 22-7
73 Skipjack 0 1192.09 70.31 45 115 13-8
74 H.I.P 0 1190.36 86.86 40 129 12-5
75 Odyssey 0 1185.17 65.60 42 115 15-10
76 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1183.45 72.44 47 125 16-10
77 WOMP 0 1180.44 58.90 48 116 22-7
78 Endgame 0 1178.07 59.67 48 120 19-12
79 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1175.49 61.73 48 118 7-11
80 Fuse 0 1171.80 38.58 57 108 18-11
81 BAG 0 1171.61 50.01 52 110 13-17
82 Black Lung 0 1156.12 69.66 40 122 20-8
83 Triumph 0 1154.54 53.81 53 118 17-12
84 Surly 0 1147.69 78.13 46 127 3-2
85 Lil’ Huckers 0 1145.02 47.38 55 119 16-15
86 Atlanta Arson 0 1142.44 65.90 52 130 17-9
87 ELE 0 1134.38 101.13 40 146 4-2
88 DeMo 0 1133.95 48.38 57 122 18-14
89 Rumspringa 0 1124.73 70.33 46 133 12-6
90 Ascension 0 1123.29 61.95 55 126 6-7
91 Swordfish 0 1119.49 60.12 56 123 16-13
92 Apollo 0 1118.59 48.48 60 122 18-8
93 Cash Crop 2 0 1112.56 50.98 59 121 13-6
94 Utah Lightning Goblins 0 1101.68 113.81 43 153 4-1
95 MOB Ultimate 0 1099.26 61.06 55 137 15-10
96 DAPPER 0 1094.24 44.80 64 125 18-19
97 PowderHogs 0 1093.03 64.87 56 136 13-10
98 ZOO 0 1087.91 63.70 58 127 23-7
99 Colonels 0 1080.79 50.98 61 128 17-15
100 Dynasty 0 1077.05 47.11 70 125 16-15
101 El Niño 0 1073.54 63.24 59 138 13-10
102 Providence Poultry 0 1071.91 107.89 38 168 1-4
103 Texas BBQ 0 1071.67 56.57 64 125 17-9
104 Skeleton Squad 0 1070.40 47.91 61 129 17-14
105 John Doe 0 1062.20 65.69 63 147 21-11
106 Sawtooth 0 1061.04 55.05 66 132 14-13
107 Crypt 0 1058.72 52.28 65 137 17-12
108 Roundhouse 0 1056.98 49.14 65 131 12-11
109 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 1051.95 142.13 41 178 1-2
110 X Wives 0 1051.22 88.25 52 147 6-6
111 Dingles 0 1042.06 83.74 52 149 5-4
112 OAT 0 1028.70 54.62 73 142 14-10
113 DINGWOP 0 1023.52 56.45 77 142 7-5
114 Forest City 0 1017.46 58.50 66 134 15-15
115 EtobiCoke 0 1014.69 67.10 68 140 11-9
116 Junco 0 1006.59 65.61 66 148 6-14
117 Dinodisc 0 987.34 70.32 71 150 3-2
118 Riverside 0 974.75 41.93 97 141 17-13
119 Heartbreak 0 964.73 59.91 84 148 6-12
120 Hazard 0 962.45 77.57 64 175 11-10
121 Sebastopol Orchard 0 948.54 70.80 85 159 9-7
122 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 937.38 125.08 50 194 4-2
123 Texas Tea 0 922.94 63.33 97 166 16-12
124 Rebels 0 921.26 49.27 94 154 17-18
125 Magma Bears 0 903.56 46.05 107 157 14-17
126 Cookie Mon$terz 0 891.96 52.31 102 160 19-9
127 OC Crows 0 884.10 62.88 99 177 7-13
128 Queen City Kings 0 877.40 54.65 101 163 13-9
129 NOx 0 873.89 57.96 107 167 14-11
130 Zodiac 0 872.59 59.23 96 171 10-9
131 Dreadnought 0 871.68 50.57 109 164 14-15
132 Harvest Moon 0 868.96 81.79 71 181 11-8
133 Battleship 0 857.42 52.78 110 164 12-10
134 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 839.84 57.16 107 167 10-13
135 ATLiens 0 837.03 118.97 84 198 3-2
136 UpRoar 0 834.73 61.25 111 181 10-8
137 OPE 0 834.24 66.67 110 178 8-13
138 Town Hall Stars 0 831.24 100.80 91 196 5-3
139 Cache Valley High Ground 0 831.23 69.50 103 184 1-9
140 (washed) 0 830.27 57.62 113 173 11-10
141 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 828.71 62.41 110 179 8-9
142 My Guys 0 820.78 90.47 80 191 4-3
143 Psychedelic 0 817.96 66.56 110 189 12-12
144 Tugboat 0 817.30 52.83 117 171 16-12
145 Gravy Transportation and Logistics LLC, A Washington Limited Liability Corporation 0 812.34 115.91 62 204 1-4
146 Seven Gills 0 807.70 80.76 99 187 4-12
147 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 800.57 84.42 91 194 10-7
148 Make it Rain 0 800.30 66.62 112 184 4-14
149 Atlanta Outlaws 0 782.88 61.49 115 186 15-10
150 Rubicon Rapids 0 771.88 65.11 116 185 9-13
151 Alliance 0 771.30 72.83 111 199 12-12
152 Enigma 0 757.21 66.38 118 190 8-15
153 BANG 0 751.14 72.40 115 195 4-6
154 Great Effort Every Body 0 748.83 94.03 108 201 1-4
155 Gang Of Disc 0 739.70 70.67 116 198 12-6
156 Battery 0 739.05 55.80 126 189 9-14
157 L.U.T $ack 0 734.27 61.19 122 196 9-10
158 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 726.73 42.55 135 185 10-14
159 ODOT 0 716.48 152.23 64 230 2-4
160 Touch of Grey 0 715.22 82.92 113 201 4-3
161 Ghost Train 0 707.25 106.84 105 211 3-3
162 Beef Depot 0 705.61 59.32 130 195 15-14
163 Romulus 0 702.21 70.63 126 197 7-11
164 Nocturnal 0 695.04 44.11 141 193 14-12
165 AFC Rumble 0 694.67 156.25 64 248 0-4
166 The Incline 0 691.20 56.86 130 193 17-19
167 Omen 0 690.79 80.75 120 210 4-3
168 Delirium 0 688.72 172.08 53 239 2-3
169 New Jersey Gemini 0 686.98 45.70 139 192 8-17
170 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 676.19 62.73 134 203 6-11
171 Bonzaiiiii!! 0 667.37 144.86 69 243 3-4
172 Timber 0 655.17 54.35 142 205 9-8
173 Scythe 0 653.22 58.12 138 204 9-11
174 Alibi 0 650.49 56.36 142 201 12-14
175 STL Moonar 0 645.20 54.92 141 204 5-13
176 Give Me Death 0 643.78 63.97 135 205 7-10
177 Mischief 0 604.68 56.13 148 211 8-26
178 Oregon Trainwreck 0 600.46 123.02 110 244 1-5
179 MBTA 0 599.87 47.04 157 207 5-19
180 Winc City Fog 0 590.82 58.97 152 207 8-12
181 Sky-90 0 589.48 85.05 129 228 1-9
182 Old & Nasti 0 586.41 102.99 130 236 2-4
183 Choice City Hops 0 586.26 118.11 115 238 2-4
184 Cozy Boys 0 580.55 64.20 145 224 6-6
185 Firefall 0 578.63 77.28 137 224 7-6
186 EZ 0 570.91 57.91 149 214 7-17
187 NC Brickhouse 0 567.56 59.45 144 211 8-15
188 ElecTriCity 0 565.63 56.17 154 212 7-10
189 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 563.33 113.27 133 238 2-4
190 DAP LAB 0 562.65 90.84 136 228 9-7
191 Rice Box 0 562.28 54.88 152 214 13-12
192 Rawhide 0 556.80 53.72 155 218 8-15
193 Florida Flo 0 549.28 69.90 156 218 5-8
194 BUDA Regional Select 0 540.63 85.12 138 227 1-6
195 Texas Duffy 0 528.56 66.60 162 220 9-15
196 Lil Heroes 0 524.89 57.67 160 219 3-3
197 On Ramp 0 523.70 36.84 171 218 9-15
198 Sauce 0 508.73 92.57 144 244 3-3
199 Dub Club 0 495.61 44.39 177 218 8-11
200 Shift 0 487.84 61.05 168 227 6-12
201 Wave 0 468.91 54.81 177 228 5-11
202 Pittsburgh Puppies 0 468.49 154.82 120 261 0-3
203 Los Buds 0 456.21 93.22 149 244 3-3
204 Space Cowboys 0 449.71 89.09 154 241 3-8
205 Tennessee Folklore 0 431.39 62.48 179 234 7-15
206 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 413.00 65.44 181 238 5-15
207 Riverside Riptide 0 412.91 174.86 117 265 2-3
208 Green Mountain Boys 0 406.59 77.95 179 247 6-6
209 Fort Reno Flatball Club 0 406.55 56.33 180 237 4-2
210 Savannah Wild 0 395.92 61.42 185 241 6-18
211 Hydra 0 389.76 70.83 178 245 4-14
212 Friendly Fire 0 389.13 62.76 182 242 9-15
213 Whittz Boyz 0 373.85 87.08 171 254 2-11
214 Gambit 0 372.45 58.00 185 243 7-15
215 Barefoot 0 371.52 69.53 175 249 6-16
216 Southern Hospitality 0 370.90 47.90 195 234 7-16
217 Smogborn 0 355.88 80.96 182 252 2-13
218 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 350.15 67.76 184 250 2-3
219 Nomads 0 340.59 66.03 188 255 6-16
220 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 336.98 75.22 186 246 5-13
221 Sungho Moon 0 331.62 117.98 159 260 3-3
222 Forge 0 331.45 60.95 193 247 7-16
223 Conspiracy Theory 0 324.23 69.27 190 250 3-13
224 Burning River 0 307.30 59.68 199 249 3-15
225 ALT 0 305.34 103.00 178 263 3-3
226 Digit 0 300.56 70.95 194 255 5-8
227 Bay Dog 0 277.59 123.53 173 264 2-3
228 Buoyancy 0 273.92 109.68 179 260 2-9
229 Red Lotus 0 271.38 61.33 197 256 4-19
230 Buffalo Frostbite 0 267.14 67.66 199 252 11-19
231 Maumee Boys 0 258.83 64.23 200 254 6-18
232 San Antonio Warhawks 0 247.89 47.92 210 256 9-15
233 Chemical X 0 237.93 72.05 193 260 5-15
234 Unknowns 0 208.78 41.62 217 256 1-3
235 Milwaukee Breaker 0 205.42 93.79 197 266 1-9
236 Satellite 0 198.28 123.06 174 268 1-4
237 Afterburner 0 173.66 48.95 221 260 0-11
238 Scooby Coupy COUP 0 168.28 128.68 192 268 2-4
239 Journeymen 0 163.76 130.30 183 269 1-9
240 Pulp 0 154.81 167.39 160 274 1-3
241 Red Dawn 0 153.59 86.99 199 267 2-4
242 Apollo 0 153.01 101.82 203 268 2-8
243 F-Words 0 152.42 120.56 192 273 1-4
244 Float 0 144.39 138.85 190 270 1-4
245 Players Into Serious Sports 0 126.65 87.51 211 265 1-8
246 Reckers 0 121.62 89.70 207 270 3-3
247 Bodega Cats 0 107.17 79.11 216 268 4-15
248 PARLAY 0 106.08 136.70 179 269 1-8
249 Spring Break '93 0 89.93 86.13 210 269 4-14
250 East Bay Earthworms 0 89.65 149.12 177 274 1-5
251 Motive 0 84.47 51.60 228 265 8-20
252 Anchor 0 84.11 92.60 215 269 0-9
253 Long Island Riff Raff 0 75.30 70.84 226 270 9-15
254 Bonsoon 0 50.49 204.19 172 277 0-6
255 Team Waco 0 38.36 87.85 221 272 2-4
256 Shenanigans 0 29.20 185.54 176 276 1-5
257 Supercell 0 26.90 65.61 234 269 3-19
258 Original Recipe 0 16.13 123.33 212 275 0-6
259 Black Gold 0 8.50 58.42 237 268 3-14
260 we love drinking juice 0 -0.56 250.18 155 277 0-4
261 Purple Blaze 0 -71.16 290.74 129 277 1-3
262 Aces 0 -82.62 145.32 222 276 1-4
263 Pineapple 0 -85.90 244.59 167 277 0-4
264 Virginia Vortex 0 -92.84 170.47 211 276 1-3
265 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -125.37 120.16 237 276 0-8
266 Dreadnought: Battleship 0 -147.54 217.79 194 277 1-3
267 Knockout 0 -156.63 232.85 169 277 0-6
268 Frostchomp 0 -164.64 151.84 234 277 1-8
269 Hex Panthers 0 -172.85 280.25 151 277 0-4
270 STX HEAT 0 -199.57 125.70 237 277 0-5
271 Flux 0 -221.50 122.64 240 277 0-17
272 Tofu Junction 0 -232.77 98.38 247 277 3-12
273 Inferno Ultimate 0 -336.00 71.05 264 277 0-4
274 Mayhem 0 -341.14 172.97 223 277 0-11
275 Turn-a-Phase 0 -426.51 199.02 241 277 0-6
276 Stuyvesant Sticky Fingers 0 -473.92 373.92 167 277 0-3
277 Deaf Fruit 0 -591.50 229.97 242 277 0-6