Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2026 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.22 Chicago Machine 100.00%,   GOAT 98.70%,   Haymaker 23.60%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 1.97 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 97.30%,  
1 North Central 1.04 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 3.60%,  
3 Northeast 3.04 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Mephisto 55.40%,   Red Tide 41.10%,   Magnitude 7.60%,   Blueprint 0.20%,  
3 Northwest 2.94 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 99.80%,   Furious George 94.00%,  
2 South Central 1.51 Johnny Bravo 100.00%,   Doublewide 50.70%,  
2 Southeast 2.27 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 27.30%,  
1 Southwest 1.01 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 0.70%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.223 1.973 1.036 3.043 2.938 1.507 2.273 1.007
Autos (all @ 1) 1.223 0.973 0.036 2.043 1.938 0.507 1.273 0.007
Northeast (@ 2) 1.223 0.973 0.036 1.043 1.938 0.507 1.273 0.007
Northwest (@ 2) 1.223 0.973 0.036 1.043 0.938 0.507 1.273 0.007
Southeast (@ 2) 1.223 0.973 0.036 1.043 0.938 0.507 0.273 0.007
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.223 0.973 0.036 1.043 0.938 0.507 0.273 0.007
Northeast (@ 3) 0.223 0.973 0.036 0.043 0.938 0.507 0.273 0.007
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.223 -0.027 0.036 0.043 0.938 0.507 0.273 0.007
Northwest (@ 3) 0.223 -0.027 0.036 0.043 -0.062 0.507 0.273 0.007
South Central (@ 2) 0.223 -0.027 0.036 0.043 -0.062 -0.493 0.273 0.007
Total 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2431.67 63.20 1 9 10-2
2 Chicago Machine 1 2388.58 88.17 1 12 8-4
3 DiG 1 2373.86 102.15 1 14 8-4
4 PoNY 1 2359.85 70.87 1 12 9-3
5 Rhino Slam! 1 2354.87 82.10 1 15 9-3
6 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2337.88 41.78 1 10 9-3
7 Sub Zero 1 2294.42 51.88 1 13 13-5
8 Ring of Fire 1 2263.96 79.81 1 16 8-4
9 Chain Lightning 1 2207.13 61.47 2 16 8-4
10 Johnny Bravo 1 2105.52 42.05 8 16 10-8
11 Sockeye 0.998 2170.21 75.18 4 18 8-4
12 GOAT 0.987 2174.38 90.98 1 19 9-3
13 Truck Stop 0.973 2124.33 81.21 2 22 5-7
14 Furious George 0.94 2072.86 71.10 4 24 6-6
15 Mephisto 0.554 1979.69 94.47 8 29 3-3
16 Doublewide 0.507 1978.15 67.27 10 25 7-5
17 Red Tide 0.411 1966.68 30.23 13 22 16-9
18 Raleigh-Durham United 0.273 1946.85 47.59 12 24 7-5
19 Haymaker 0.236 1935.27 59.67 12 25 14-4
20 Magnitude 0.076 1892.04 64.75 13 28 6-1
21 Mad Men 0.036 1863.60 59.64 14 28 13-5
22 SoCal Condors 0.007 1818.80 68.94 14 32 8-4
23 Blueprint 0.002 1794.68 63.68 15 32 16-3
24 Dark Star 0 1805.08 64.61 17 34 15-3
25 Vault 0 1745.78 50.05 19 32 5-7
26 Sprout 0 1738.24 63.37 19 38 14-5
27 Florida Untied 0 1705.25 56.93 20 38 6-6
28 Oak Grove Boys 0 1698.76 67.53 17 42 16-8
29 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1646.58 58.57 21 43 10-8
30 Phoenix 0 1616.29 49.15 24 45 8-10
31 baNC 0 1589.40 46.29 25 45 7-11
32 SOUF 0 1578.01 62.16 24 52 15-3
33 Red Circus 0 1574.84 55.07 24 48 10-3
34 Nighthawk 0 1569.95 65.69 23 55 4-8
35 Lounar 0 1550.45 63.71 24 58 9-9
36 Colt 0 1546.99 62.07 26 57 15-10
37 Big Wrench 0 1533.96 75.76 25 68 7-6
38 Wavestorms 0 1506.13 72.47 26 61 9-2
39 I-69 0 1492.06 77.36 26 68 8-10
40 Flying Dutchmen 0 1487.55 82.85 26 68 8-4
41 Fungi 0 1474.70 63.83 28 74 6-6
42 Lantern 0 1469.08 64.41 28 72 11-8
43 Tanasi 0 1461.53 81.11 26 75 14-3
44 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1459.54 86.81 27 78 14-4
45 Mallard 0 1456.48 82.95 25 72 6-6
46 Trident 0 1429.08 65.43 28 71 13-5
47 BUDA U20B 0 1415.91 74.06 29 76 3-4
48 Switchback 0 1408.53 64.30 30 69 10-7
49 General Strike 0 1407.26 107.45 23 100 3-3
50 ELDL 0 1391.24 68.43 34 78 10-6
51 Garden State Ultimate 0 1390.18 69.37 32 88 9-9
52 Zodiac 0 1379.93 83.12 30 89 7-6
53 Iditarod 0 1377.87 47.37 35 70 8-5
54 AVE 0 1374.39 89.80 28 98 4-2
55 Skipjack 0 1341.88 78.04 34 93 7-1
56 Club M - Manic 0 1332.81 67.20 38 100 6-7
57 CITYWIDE Special 0 1320.54 60.75 40 86 10-10
58 Knights of Ni 0 1308.57 96.72 30 111 7-5
59 UPDOG 0 1307.83 113.80 29 118 7-6
60 WOMP 0 1303.43 98.62 31 99 15-2
61 Shade 0 1290.29 58.52 41 91 11-9
62 BAG 0 1285.86 54.42 43 93 8-12
63 Portland TremOR 0 1253.65 58.51 46 95 7-5
64 Fuse 0 1247.53 43.90 51 88 12-5
65 MOB Ultimate 0 1227.92 66.15 44 105 11-6
66 Ascension 0 1224.57 63.06 44 99 6-7
67 EtobiCoke 0 1224.44 63.24 48 98 9-5
68 Hazard 0 1215.93 82.77 44 115 5-7
69 Alamode 0 1207.68 69.39 46 100 14-4
70 Zoboomafoo 0 1204.74 66.06 48 108 11-7
71 Apollo 0 1200.35 72.07 42 109 12-4
72 Mint 0 1190.22 58.71 51 101 11-6
73 Odyssey 0 1187.84 67.81 46 108 11-9
74 Cash Crop 2 0 1184.44 64.68 46 104 8-2
75 Wretched Refuse 0 1183.31 97.63 40 118 7-4
76 Grudge 0 1181.08 80.57 44 113 7-5
77 DAPPER 0 1179.40 47.22 56 98 12-14
78 Black Lung 0 1173.37 71.60 47 112 13-4
79 Blackfish 0 1170.02 47.28 58 108 6-6
80 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1166.57 69.77 46 113 5-8
81 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1159.02 80.72 48 119 10-6
82 OAT 0 1142.83 64.07 55 111 7-5
83 ISO Atmo 0 1131.07 87.73 46 119 11-7
84 Triumph 0 1123.38 68.23 58 116 11-7
85 Sebastopol Orchard 0 1114.02 84.18 50 120 4-2
86 Skeleton Squad 0 1114.01 47.39 61 114 14-12
87 Endgame 0 1112.43 68.61 58 115 11-8
88 PowderHogs 0 1111.36 68.17 58 119 11-7
89 Lil’ Huckers 0 1103.00 55.31 63 109 12-10
90 Dynasty 0 1101.34 71.65 57 116 12-6
91 Rumspringa 0 1093.38 84.28 56 128 7-3
92 John Doe 0 1073.30 87.12 53 129 14-6
93 Swordfish 0 1071.63 72.93 59 123 8-10
94 DeMo 0 1070.83 64.54 67 115 12-7
95 Crypt 0 1066.81 64.55 64 119 11-7
96 Atlanta Arson 0 1057.12 97.82 51 136 10-5
97 Rebels 0 1056.28 61.38 66 124 12-11
98 Forest City 0 1044.98 64.37 65 122 10-10
99 Sawtooth 0 1044.06 59.77 62 122 11-7
100 X Wives 0 1029.19 78.39 62 132 6-6
101 DINGWOP 0 1017.86 56.47 73 123 4-2
102 Colonels 0 1017.05 59.50 72 130 12-7
103 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 1012.00 143.57 40 170 1-2
104 El Niño 0 1004.68 71.60 68 132 7-5
105 ZOO 0 997.64 88.77 59 142 16-3
106 Riverside 0 976.75 54.59 80 130 11-7
107 Magma Bears 0 975.17 53.71 78 131 9-11
108 OPE 0 966.22 66.28 80 132 6-5
109 Texas Tea 0 938.08 64.57 82 151 11-6
110 Roundhouse 0 931.78 63.47 83 140 5-7
111 Junco 0 921.41 58.09 89 158 6-12
112 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 919.27 74.00 76 150 8-3
113 Texas BBQ 0 903.97 60.43 88 143 11-7
114 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 890.50 84.81 77 155 7-5
115 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 884.98 114.37 62 169 4-2
116 Cookie Mon$terz 0 882.91 64.45 93 154 13-4
117 Queen City Kings 0 866.63 72.39 89 156 9-6
118 Battleship 0 863.04 57.39 95 149 8-4
119 ATLiens 0 853.29 127.72 65 182 3-2
120 BANG 0 842.80 71.89 94 157 4-2
121 NOx 0 835.33 74.97 88 156 11-8
122 H.I.P 0 826.86 134.93 70 199 3-2
123 Harvest Moon 0 819.41 113.44 83 186 7-5
124 Beef Depot 0 812.09 66.03 101 156 13-9
125 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 810.70 70.88 96 167 5-6
126 UpRoar 0 810.23 79.78 95 171 7-5
127 Hazard 0 807.87 98.84 70 176 5-7
128 Dreadnought 0 806.62 59.41 103 159 9-10
129 Heartbreak 0 796.98 73.66 99 172 4-8
130 Zodiac 0 796.88 83.73 98 166 7-6
131 Atlanta Outlaws 0 795.23 74.27 93 165 11-7
132 Cache Valley High Ground 0 787.86 79.94 100 172 1-9
133 Town Hall Stars 0 781.04 104.70 79 181 4-0
134 Alliance 0 774.38 91.29 77 180 8-9
135 Psychedelic 0 771.64 85.79 94 177 9-9
136 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 763.57 46.00 115 155 7-11
137 New Jersey Gemini 0 752.63 64.55 104 168 5-13
138 Romulus 0 740.29 90.01 93 186 5-6
139 Rubicon Rapids 0 731.51 82.22 98 176 6-6
140 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 709.28 83.33 103 176 5-7
141 Alibi 0 703.00 50.88 115 168 9-11
142 Make it Rain 0 691.23 91.54 108 187 3-9
143 EZ 0 691.23 67.69 114 175 7-12
144 Delirium 0 688.18 163.34 79 211 2-3
145 Touch of Grey 0 687.01 71.51 112 179 4-3
146 Tugboat 0 684.15 63.24 121 176 10-7
147 (washed) 0 664.83 84.20 113 188 6-3
148 OC Crows 0 663.58 91.47 101 187 2-6
149 Battery 0 661.67 48.34 123 174 5-7
150 MBTA 0 660.28 46.79 128 172 4-15
151 L.U.T $ack 0 655.14 77.46 117 187 6-6
152 Winc City Fog 0 653.76 74.29 115 182 7-9
153 STL Moonar 0 653.66 73.04 106 182 4-8
154 Gang Of Disc 0 650.74 85.99 113 191 8-3
155 Firefall 0 635.69 118.50 104 199 3-3
156 Mischief 0 628.71 61.77 123 190 6-18
157 ElecTriCity 0 626.91 71.12 119 188 4-7
158 Florida Flo 0 625.54 76.21 121 193 3-4
159 Nocturnal 0 621.12 36.35 134 174 9-10
160 Timber 0 607.67 51.78 129 184 6-6
161 Seven Gills 0 606.09 110.67 105 207 2-9
162 BUDA Regional Select 0 593.30 97.19 112 198 1-6
163 ODOT 0 586.83 162.79 89 214 2-4
164 NC Brickhouse 0 574.10 64.94 131 190 5-12
165 DAP LAB 0 572.17 84.42 126 199 5-0
166 Give Me Death 0 564.10 84.93 114 197 4-6
167 Enigma 0 558.95 36.87 145 183 5-7
168 Scythe 0 557.20 81.54 127 201 6-7
169 The Incline 0 556.01 57.80 137 192 12-12
170 Rice Box 0 555.19 60.09 130 192 11-7
171 Cozy Boys 0 538.42 96.59 122 204 3-3
172 Rawhide 0 515.78 68.10 133 201 6-7
173 Lil Heroes 0 508.03 51.72 149 199 3-3
174 Digit 0 498.61 102.64 123 214 3-4
175 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 496.66 135.73 117 218 2-4
176 Shift 0 479.19 72.60 139 200 3-9
177 Texas Duffy 0 475.51 77.98 145 206 7-11
178 Dub Club 0 465.93 54.09 154 199 6-7
179 On Ramp 0 465.71 38.62 160 194 6-12
180 Oregon Trainwreck 0 455.72 101.62 132 209 1-5
181 Journeymen 0 455.01 192.77 101 226 1-4
182 Wave 0 454.15 78.51 144 208 4-8
183 Barefoot 0 437.37 78.79 148 207 5-12
184 Space Cowboys 0 432.90 87.05 137 211 3-8
185 Friendly Fire 0 414.48 65.11 152 206 9-10
186 PARLAY 0 412.53 93.75 144 211 1-3
187 Green Mountain Boys 0 409.80 69.97 152 207 6-6
188 Tennessee Folklore 0 400.42 66.95 158 206 6-12
189 Gambit 0 398.76 67.87 161 210 5-11
190 Smogborn 0 375.59 113.27 128 218 2-9
191 Southern Hospitality 0 352.15 61.87 164 209 5-11
192 Whittz Boyz 0 350.22 112.13 150 224 1-5
193 Forge 0 331.77 58.41 172 211 6-12
194 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 319.62 89.81 159 215 3-10
195 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 310.19 90.70 167 221 2-3
196 Red Lotus 0 310.05 74.01 169 217 4-13
197 Conspiracy Theory 0 307.58 82.89 167 217 3-8
198 Savannah Wild 0 281.63 69.26 164 215 4-14
199 Hydra 0 272.78 78.62 175 219 2-10
200 Sky-90 0 263.23 145.57 139 225 0-6
201 Nomads 0 260.37 72.12 171 219 6-11
202 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 248.54 72.91 176 218 4-9
203 Buoyancy 0 248.18 181.04 117 227 1-4
204 Red Dawn 0 247.10 104.62 169 226 2-4
205 Buffalo Frostbite 0 240.28 57.79 180 215 8-11
206 Burning River 0 237.64 89.38 175 225 1-11
207 San Antonio Warhawks 0 224.91 57.95 181 216 5-13
208 Bodega Cats 0 181.82 71.47 181 220 3-12
209 Chemical X 0 152.19 72.26 187 224 4-12
210 Maumee Boys 0 147.89 65.28 191 223 3-15
211 Long Island Riff Raff 0 114.27 73.10 189 225 8-10
212 F-Words 0 98.78 113.33 180 227 1-4
213 Motive 0 90.44 59.41 194 225 7-16
214 Anchor 0 79.02 100.17 185 229 0-5
215 Afterburner 0 59.97 63.57 201 226 0-6
216 Virginia Vortex 0 58.24 151.25 159 230 1-3
217 Frostchomp 0 25.46 98.79 197 228 1-3
218 Spring Break '93 0 14.23 96.82 188 228 2-10
219 Supercell 0 2.24 64.97 202 227 3-16
220 Black Gold 0 -4.72 47.40 208 227 1-11
221 Players Into Serious Sports 0 -17.21 174.93 176 231 0-4
222 Original Recipe 0 -21.08 123.67 185 229 0-6
223 Apollo 0 -44.77 123.27 190 230 0-6
224 Milwaukee Breaker 0 -79.81 89.57 207 230 0-6
225 Tofu Junction 0 -97.07 110.17 195 231 3-7
226 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -172.84 124.58 203 231 0-8
227 Flux 0 -343.97 146.36 208 231 0-12
228 Inferno Ultimate 0 -351.08 77.67 223 231 0-4
229 Turn-a-Phase 0 -364.01 187.32 201 231 0-6
230 Mayhem 0 -452.11 267.12 179 231 0-6
231 Deaf Fruit 0 -604.72 218.25 217 231 0-6